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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 31, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Suns30%99134
2Thunder70%106137
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
43.8
33.9
21
72%
8
3
0
1
0
1
2
6
5-6
83%
5-7
5-9
71%
51%
2-5
40%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.1
42.0
33.6
29
66%
2
8
1
2
1
3
0
2
7-7
100%
8-15
5-10
53%
48%
2-4
50%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 29.7
34.5
29.1
13
60%
5
2
4
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.3
34.4
29.7
25
68%
4
0
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
7-12
5-10
58%
49%
3-5
60%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 21.5
21.5
21.9
2
50%
6
0
0
0
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
31.1
20.8
18
76%
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
2-3
67%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.9
25.5
20.1
14
47%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
6-9
67%
1-7
2-5
14%
46%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.9
16.4
24.9
6
44%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.3
15.9
18.4
6
75%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.4
3.8
0
0-1
43%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.3
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.4
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.1
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.7
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.3
39.7
25.6
44
78%
10
7
0
1
1
5
0
10
12-12
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
54%
6-11
55%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
38.2
33.1
15
58%
7
1
0
0
1
4
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
55%
3-6
50%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.4
27.8
25.6
9
54%
7
1
1
1
0
0
3
4
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
17.7
22.9
3
31%
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
17.3
32.8
20
57%
4
4
1
2
0
1
2
2
9-10
90%
4-11
9-18
36%
49%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.7
40.9
27.8
10
25%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
4-10
4-9
40%
51%
0-8
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
28.9
23.5
11
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
8-9
89%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-6
17%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
23.7
24.1
8
67%
4
2
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
20.0
15.1
9
73%
5
0
0
0
2
2
4
1
5-5
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
10.8
9.2
8
68%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.2
11.8
0
1-2
56%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.6
7.6
0
1-2
49%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.5
3.5
0
0-1
50%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.