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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
January 2, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Cavaliers51%10191
28Hornets49%10087
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.8
42.7
35.2
14
55%
14
0
0
1
3
2
6
8
4-6
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.8
41.5
38.7
23
38%
4
3
4
2
0
1
1
3
7-8
88%
8-25
6-13
32%
49%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.3
37.9
21.6
27
70%
5
1
0
0
1
1
0
5
6-10
60%
6-11
2-5
55%
49%
3-4
75%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
33.8
24.2
3
38%
7
4
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.9
20.6
24.9
0
0%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
34.2
25.6
17
39%
5
2
4
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
8-17
4-8
47%
47%
0-4
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.7
23.5
8.8
7
40%
10
2
0
0
1
0
2
8
3-4
75%
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.2
3.1
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
36%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.1
2.8
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.3
14.6
0
0-1
47%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
9.3
0
1-2
44%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.1
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.7
40.5
35.9
10
29%
2
5
2
1
2
2
0
2
1-3
33%
3-8
5-11
38%
44%
1-8
13%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 21.3
29.3
26.2
12
45%
10
1
0
1
0
5
4
6
2-5
40%
5-11
4-7
45%
48%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 22.3
26.9
17.2
2
114%
8
0
1
0
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.1
26.6
29.7
14
39%
8
4
0
1
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-16
4-7
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
20.1
23.7
8
57%
7
3
0
1
3
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 28.5
28.5
22.3
10
57%
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
2-7
29%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
24.3
21.2
11
34%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-6
44%
44%
1-7
14%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.9
17.3
10.5
8
48%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
6-10
60%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.0
16.9
14.0
8
67%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.1
9.7
13.5
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
12.5
0
2-3
51%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 19.4
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.0
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 25.6
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.