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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets
83
15Pelicans
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.4
25
34
11
2
3
2
1
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
6-11
57%
50%
1-6
17%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.5
22
35
2
4
0
1
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.1
22
30
12
5
0
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-1
0%
6-8
6-10
75%
58%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
18
29
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.1
17
25
8
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.8
27
23
12
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
0-5
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.0
23
13
4
10
1
3
1
0
1
6
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
22
6
3
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
22
24
10
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.3
16
18
7
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.0
14
3
6
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
3-5
0-1
60%
44%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.6
12
4
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-3
33%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.0
3
0
0-1
42%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.0
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 21.8
31
37
7
8
3
2
1
3
3
1
7
3-3
100%
2-7
9-16
29%
53%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
27
33
21
4
5
1
1
0
4
1
3
1-1
100%
10-14
6-13
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
26
33
7
7
6
2
1
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.5
23
23
9
11
2
0
0
0
2
2
9
3-5
60%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
16
13
8
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
38%
2-2
100%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
28
18
13
0
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
3-3
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.7
24
30
22
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
3-6
50%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
21
14
10
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
44%
1-4
25%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
18
23
6
3
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
42%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 26.7
16
5
6
9
1
1
0
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
3-7
1-1
43%
55%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 24.8
6
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.7
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 35.1
6
0
0-1
40%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.