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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards33%95102
4Thunder67%101109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.5
37
32
21
10
6
0
1
0
3
1
9
4-4
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
43%
3-5
60%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
34
33
14
2
12
0
2
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
46%
2-6
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
32
26
6
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
27
21
12
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.2
20
23
12
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
30
23
11
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
3-6
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
24
19
8
7
3
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-1
0%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.8
20
14
15
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.1
10
18
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.1
5
12
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.7
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.6
11
0
1-2
48%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.7
2
0
0-0
41%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24.0
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
32
33
13
6
1
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-6
5-9
83%
54%
1-4
25%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.3
31
29
34
8
2
0
1
1
2
0
8
6-7
86%
8-11
5-10
73%
53%
4-7
57%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
30
25
22
3
6
2
1
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
8-20
7-14
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
22
20
0
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
19
25
0
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.7
28
32
9
1
8
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
27
16
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-1
0%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
20
24
8
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.2
16
8
10
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
1-1
71%
54%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
14
23
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
0
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.6
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.5
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.