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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers16%9596
13Suns84%108112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
35
36
17
7
5
0
2
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
7-16
5-12
44%
44%
1-4
25%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.1
34
34
10
5
2
5
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
32
13
12
8
2
3
0
1
2
2
6
2-4
50%
5-10
1-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
26
24
4
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.7
22
27
4
6
0
0
1
2
0
4
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.7
33
23
28
2
3
3
1
0
5
0
2
4-9
44%
6-10
3-7
60%
48%
4-9
44%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
24
21
2
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.8
18
22
16
5
2
0
1
2
1
3
2
4-4
100%
6-7
4-7
86%
50%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
11
10
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.8
2
17
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
2
10
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.8
7
0
0-1
48%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.9
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.8
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
35
35
10
10
4
3
1
1
3
2
8
3-5
60%
2-7
5-10
29%
55%
1-6
17%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.1
31
35
17
5
8
1
2
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
52%
3-5
60%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 29.7
24
29
7
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.3
22
30
21
3
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
53%
3-4
75%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 21.5
16
21
0
5
0
0
1
6
4
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
55%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
25
23
9
5
3
0
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.3
24
17
8
6
0
2
0
4
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.9
23
21
12
6
5
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.9
22
21
21
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
49%
3-7
43%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.3
11
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
3
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.4
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.7
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.