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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors41%103105
3Warriors59%107126
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.8
35
35
22
5
8
2
1
0
3
2
3
4-6
67%
6-12
6-12
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.7
31
30
12
10
1
2
1
0
3
3
7
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
56%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.9
29
34
12
0
1
2
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
16
7
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
11
26
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
52%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.0
34
20
25
5
7
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
5-10
2-5
50%
44%
5-9
56%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.2
33
26
20
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
7-7
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
43%
1-5
20%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.8
26
25
2
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.9
12
24
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.2
11
11
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.6
4
0
0-1
44%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.3
1
0
0-0
47%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
40
29
16
11
13
2
1
2
2
3
8
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
34
29
32
5
12
1
1
0
0
2
3
7-7
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
53%
5-11
45%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
29
27
20
2
1
2
1
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
48%
4-6
67%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
25
21
26
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
12-18
5-10
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
24
29
2
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
29
22
3
5
5
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-5
20%
1-4
1-3
25%
53%
0-1
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
23
20
12
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
52%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.7
19
14
9
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.3
17
18
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.6
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.1
11
0
1-3
48%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
6
0
0-1
48%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.1
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.