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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 3, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Celtics
104
7Bulls
109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
40
22
29
5
6
1
1
0
7
0
5
1-2
50%
8-17
3-6
47%
43%
4-5
80%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
38
29
11
9
2
1
1
1
4
0
9
3-3
100%
4-15
4-8
27%
47%
0-3
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
36
28
17
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
8-14
3-8
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.8
36
30
16
16
2
1
1
1
2
8
8
0-0
-
8-14
4-9
57%
47%
0-3
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.0
28
21
10
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.8
17
25
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
15
17
10
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
15
10
2
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
63%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
14
21
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.7
14
13
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.9
13
4
5
2
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
37%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.9
17
0
1-2
42%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
2
0
0-0
47%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.4
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.5
38
32
29
16
2
1
0
5
5
5
11
10-11
91%
8-15
6-12
53%
50%
1-1
100%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
38
13
10
8
4
2
0
0
0
0
8
5-7
71%
1-4
1-2
25%
52%
1-6
17%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.0
37
26
8
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
44%
0-6
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
36
29
8
12
6
3
1
2
4
6
6
2-4
50%
3-10
4-7
30%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.2
35
30
12
2
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
4-14
6-12
29%
49%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
31
22
12
6
2
0
0
1
0
5
1
4-5
80%
4-10
4-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.0
20
19
19
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
4-5
80%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
3-8
38%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.9
16
10
8
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.1
13
6
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.3
2
0
0-0
45%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
1
0
0-0
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.3
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.3
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.