Final Win Prob. pScore
1339%95
79
961%99
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
85.99287.9
HOU logo Rockets
121.19599.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU79
115
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUCanaan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
115
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Ennis 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
115
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUCanaan Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)79
115
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUCanaan Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)79
114
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUROCKETS Rebound79
113
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Canaan Free Throw 1 of 379
113
Q4 - 0:27.0MIACole S.FOUL (P4.PN)79
113
Q4 - 0:42.0HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
113
Q4 - 0:44.0HOUMISS Papanikolaou 6' Jump Shot79
113
Q4 - 1:01MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Ennis 2 AST)79
113
Q4 - 1:10MIADawkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
113
Q4 - 1:11HOUMISS Papanikolaou 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
113
Q4 - 1:20MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)77
113
Q4 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
113
Q4 - 1:41HOUMISS Dorsey Driving Slam Dunk77
113
Q4 - 1:56MIAPapanikolaou STEAL (2 STL)77
113
Q4 - 2:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
113
Q4 - 2:16HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
113
Q4 - 2:19HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)77
113
Q4 - 2:20HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
113
Q4 - 2:25HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
113
Q4 - 2:26HOUMISS Papanikolaou 3' Jump Shot77
113
Q4 - 2:38HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)77
113
Q4 - 2:38MIACole Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)77
113
Q4 - 2:40MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
113
Q4 - 2:42HOUMISS Canaan 4' Jump Shot77
113
Q4 - 3:04MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
113
Q4 - 3:04MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
113
Q4 - 3:04HOUPapanikolaou S.FOUL (P1.T1)75
113
Q4 - 3:19HOUSUB: Terry FOR Smith75
113
Q4 - 3:19MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)75
113
Q4 - 3:21HOUCanaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
113
Q4 - 3:27HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
110
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Cole 4' Jump Shot75
110
Q4 - 3:46HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
110
Q4 - 3:46HOUSmith Tip Shot (12 PTS)75
110
Q4 - 3:48HOUMISS Papanikolaou 2' Alley Oop Layup75
108
Q4 - 4:04HOUCanaan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
108
Q4 - 4:05HOUMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot75
108
Q4 - 4:24MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)75
108
Q4 - 4:46HOUCanaan 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)73
108
Q4 - 5:00MIAEnnis Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)73
105
Q4 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
105
Q4 - 5:16HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot71
105
Q4 - 5:25HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
105
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Hook Shot71
105
Q4 - 5:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
105
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Ennis 18' Jump Shot71
105
Q4 - 5:44HOUSmith 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)71
105
Q4 - 6:01MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Dawkins 1 AST)71
103
Q4 - 6:30HOUSmith 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Canaan 1 AST)69
103
Q4 - 6:38MIADawkins P.FOUL (P1.T4)69
101
Q4 - 6:46HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
101
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Dawkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
101
Q4 - 7:06MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
101
Q4 - 7:07HOUMISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
101
Q4 - 7:11HOUCanaan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
101
Q4 - 7:12MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)69
101
Q4 - 7:25MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
101
Q4 - 7:26HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 269
101
Q4 - 7:26HOUSUB: Dorsey FOR Motiejunas69
101
Q4 - 7:26HOUSUB: Canaan FOR Terry69
101
Q4 - 7:26HOUROCKETS Rebound69
101
Q4 - 7:26HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 269
101
Q4 - 7:26MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)69
101
Q4 - 7:36HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
101
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Dawkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
101
Q4 - 7:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
101
Q4 - 7:45HOUMISS Motiejunas Tip Shot69
101
Q4 - 7:45HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
101
Q4 - 7:46HOUMISS Motiejunas 3' Layup69
101
Q4 - 8:02MIAEnnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)69
101
Q4 - 8:12HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)66
101
Q4 - 8:17HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
101
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Dawkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
101
Q4 - 8:31HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
101
Q4 - 8:31MIASUB: Haslem FOR Shaw. Williams66
100
Q4 - 8:31HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
100
Q4 - 8:31MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T2)66
99
Q4 - 8:34MIAMotiejunas STEAL (2 STL)66
99
Q4 - 8:46HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)66
99
Q4 - 8:53MIASUB: Dawkins FOR Granger66
96
Q4 - 8:5366
96
Q4 - 8:53MIACole P.FOUL (P3.T1)66
96
Q4 - 8:58MIABrewer STEAL (2 STL)66
96
Q4 - 9:07MIAWhiteside Violation:Defensive Goaltending66
96
Q4 - 9:07HOUSmith 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
96
Q4 - 9:23HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
94
Q4 - 9:25HOUMISS Motiejunas 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
94
Q4 - 9:50MIAEnnis 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
94
Q4 - 9:52MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
94
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
94
Q4 - 10:09HOUMotiejunas Violation:Kicked Ball64
94
Q4 - 10:24HOUSmith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)64
94
Q4 - 10:53MIACole 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)64
94
Q4 - 10:57HOUPapanikolaou Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)62
94
Q4 - 11:13MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)62
94
Q4 - 11:32MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
94
Q4 - 11:36HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
94
Q4 - 11:49HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
94
Q4 - 11:51MIAMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot60
94
Q4 - 12:0060
94
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU60
94
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound60
94
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Papanikolaou 2' Layup60
94
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAPapanikolaou STEAL (1 STL)60
94
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)60
94
Q3 - 0:09.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
91
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 260
91
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Rebound60
91
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 260
91
Q3 - 0:09.0HOUHoward S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
91
Q3 - 0:12.0HOUPapanikolaou Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)60
91
Q3 - 0:16.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)60
91
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Cole 10' Floating Jump Shot60
91
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Papanikolaou 1 AST)60
91
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
88
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Running Reverse Layup60
88
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
88
Q3 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Howard 1' Alley Oop Layup60
88
Q3 - 1:21HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
88
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
88
Q3 - 1:36HOUSmith Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)60
88
Q3 - 1:47HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)60
86
Q3 - 1:47MIAHeat Rebound60
86
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 260
86
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 260
86
Q3 - 1:47HOUBrewer S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
86
Q3 - 2:01HOUHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)60
86
Q3 - 2:15HOUSUB: Howard FOR Harden60
86
Q3 - 2:15HOUROCKETS Rebound60
86
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
86
Q3 - 2:30HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)60
86
Q3 - 2:30HOUSUB: Terry FOR Beverley60
85
Q3 - 2:30MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Bosh60
85
Q3 - 2:30HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)60
85
Q3 - 2:30MIACole P.FOUL (P2.PN)60
84
Q3 - 2:52HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
84
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 260
84
Q3 - 2:52MIASUB: Ennis FOR Wade60
84
Q3 - 2:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
84
Q3 - 2:52HOUSmith S.FOUL (P3.PN)59
84
Q3 - 3:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
84
Q3 - 3:05HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
84
Q3 - 3:10HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
84
Q3 - 3:11HOUMISS Harden 19' Step Back Jump Shot59
84
Q3 - 3:33MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)59
84
Q3 - 3:47HOUHarden 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)56
84
Q3 - 4:01HOUROCKETS Rebound56
81
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
81
Q3 - 4:10HOUSUB: Papanikolaou FOR Motiejunas56
81
Q3 - 4:15HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)56
81
Q3 - 4:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
81
Q3 - 4:26MIAHeat Rebound55
81
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 255
81
Q3 - 4:26HOUMotiejunas S.FOUL (P4.T4)55
81
Q3 - 4:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
81
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Cole 16' Step Back Jump Shot55
81
Q3 - 4:37MIASUB: Granger FOR Deng55
81
Q3 - 4:37HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Ariza55
81
Q3 - 4:37MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Andersen55
81
Q3 - 4:51HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)55
81
Q3 - 5:03HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
79
Q3 - 5:04HOUMISS Harden 17' Fadeaway Jumper55
79
Q3 - 5:25MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)55
79
Q3 - 5:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
79
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot53
79
Q3 - 5:53HOUSUB: Smith FOR Howard53
79
Q3 - 5:54MIAHeat Rebound53
79
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
79
Q3 - 6:08HOUMotiejunas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)53
79
Q3 - 6:29MIABosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)53
79
Q3 - 6:45MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)53
79
Q3 - 6:45HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)53
79
Q3 - 6:45MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers53
78
Q3 - 6:45HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)53
78
Q3 - 6:45MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T4)53
77
Q3 - 6:48HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
77
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot53
77
Q3 - 7:11HOUMotiejunas 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)53
77
Q3 - 7:27MIADeng Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)53
75
Q3 - 7:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
75
Q3 - 7:32HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
75
Q3 - 7:45MIAAndersen Violation:Kicked Ball53
75
Q3 - 7:59MIAAriza STEAL (6 STL)53
75
Q3 - 8:15HOUAriza Foul Turnover (P3.T9)53
75
Q3 - 8:15HOUAriza Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3)53
75
Q3 - 8:19HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
75
Q3 - 8:20HOUMISS Motiejunas 8' Turnaround Hook Shot53
75
Q3 - 8:33MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)53
75
Q3 - 8:48HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
75
Q3 - 8:48HOUROCKETS Rebound53
74
Q3 - 8:48HOUMISS Motiejunas Free Throw 1 of 253
74
Q3 - 8:48MIABosh Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)53
74
Q3 - 9:02MIAAndersen Violation:Kicked Ball53
74
Q3 - 9:14HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
74
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Bosh 1' Reverse Layup53
74
Q3 - 9:23MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)53
74
Q3 - 9:24HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)53
74
Q3 - 9:30MIAAriza STEAL (5 STL)53
71
Q3 - 9:39HOUBeverley P.FOUL (P3.T2)53
71
Q3 - 9:43HOUMotiejunas P.FOUL (P3.T1)53
71
Q3 - 9:46HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)53
71
Q3 - 9:46MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.T2)53
70
Q3 - 9:46HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)53
70
Q3 - 10:01MIAAndersen 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
68
Q3 - 10:27HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
68
Q3 - 10:33HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
65
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot51
65
Q3 - 10:49HOUHoward 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Motiejunas 3 AST)51
65
Q3 - 11:06MIADeng 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
63
Q3 - 11:21HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)49
63
Q3 - 11:21HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)49
62
Q3 - 11:21MIADeng S.FOUL (P1.T1)49
61
Q3 - 11:30HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)49
61
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot49
61
Q3 - 11:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
61
Q3 - 11:42HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
61
Q3 - 12:0049
61
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
61
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
61
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
61
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)49
61
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Bank Shot49
61
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUHarden Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)49
61
Q2 - 0:44.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
59
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot49
59
Q2 - 1:03HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
59
Q2 - 1:03HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
58
Q2 - 1:03MIACole S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
57
Q2 - 1:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
57
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 249
57
Q2 - 1:12MIAHeat Rebound49
57
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 249
57
Q2 - 1:12HOUBeverley S.FOUL (P2.PN)49
57
Q2 - 1:12MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers49
57
Q2 - 1:27HOUSUB: Smith FOR Motiejunas49
57
Q2 - 1:27MIASUB: Andersen FOR Granger49
57
Q2 - 1:27MIAChalmers L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)49
57
Q2 - 1:27HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)49
57
Q2 - 1:27HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
56
Q2 - 1:27HOUHoward 1' Tip Shot (18 PTS)49
56
Q2 - 1:28HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup49
54
Q2 - 1:29HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
54
Q2 - 1:30HOUMISS Motiejunas 3PT Jump Shot49
54
Q2 - 1:40HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
54
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
54
Q2 - 2:07HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)49
54
Q2 - 2:20MIAWade 15' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
51
Q2 - 2:32HOUSUB: Howard FOR Smith47
51
Q2 - 2:32HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)47
51
Q2 - 2:32HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)47
51
Q2 - 2:42MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
51
Q2 - 2:58HOUBeverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)45
51
Q2 - 3:12MIAGranger 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)45
48
Q2 - 3:21MIASUB: Bosh FOR Andersen42
48
Q2 - 3:21MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)42
48
Q2 - 3:28HOUSmith Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Motiejunas 2 AST)42
48
Q2 - 3:34HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
46
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Wade 21' Step Back Jump Shot42
46
Q2 - 4:03HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)42
46
Q2 - 4:14MIADeng 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)42
44
Q2 - 4:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
44
Q2 - 4:25HOUMISS Beverley 22' Jump Shot40
44
Q2 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
44
Q2 - 4:42HOUSUB: Smith FOR Howard39
44
Q2 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)39
44
Q2 - 4:42HOUAriza S.FOUL (P1.T4)38
44
Q2 - 4:47HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)38
44
Q2 - 4:57MIAAriza STEAL (4 STL)38
44
Q2 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)38
44
Q2 - 5:11HOUMotiejunas T.FOUL (P2.T3)37
44
Q2 - 5:16HOUHoward 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS)37
44
Q2 - 5:18HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
42
Q2 - 5:21HOUMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot37
42
Q2 - 5:39MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 5:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
42
Q2 - 5:53HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 235
42
Q2 - 5:53HOUROCKETS Rebound35
42
Q2 - 5:53HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 235
42
Q2 - 5:53MIASUB: Granger FOR Whiteside35
42
Q2 - 5:53MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh35
42
Q2 - 5:53HOUSUB: Motiejunas FOR Smith35
42
Q2 - 5:5335
42
Q2 - 5:53MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P2.T3)35
42
Q2 - 6:04HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
42
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot35
42
Q2 - 6:26HOUSmith L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)35
42
Q2 - 6:26MIAHeat Rebound35
42
Q2 - 6:27HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 235
42
Q2 - 6:27HOUSUB: Beverley FOR Terry35
42
Q2 - 6:27HOUSUB: Harden FOR Brewer35
42
Q2 - 6:27HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Papanikolaou35
42
Q2 - 6:27MIASUB: Deng FOR Ennis35
42
Q2 - 6:27HOUROCKETS Rebound35
42
Q2 - 6:27HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 235
42
Q2 - 6:27MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T2)35
42
Q2 - 6:45MIAWade Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS)35
42
Q2 - 7:06HOUHoward 2' Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)33
42
Q2 - 7:29MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)33
40
Q2 - 7:42HOUHoward 1' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)31
40
Q2 - 8:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
38
Q2 - 8:03MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)31
38
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 2 of 229
38
Q2 - 8:05MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole29
38
Q2 - 8:05MIASUB: Wade FOR Granger29
38
Q2 - 8:05MIAHeat Rebound29
38
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 1 of 229
38
Q2 - 8:05HOUSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
38
Q2 - 8:32HOUHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)29
38
Q2 - 8:49MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)29
36
Q2 - 9:00HOUPapanikolaou Layup (2 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)29
36
Q2 - 9:04MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)29
34
Q2 - 9:05MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Shaw. Williams29
34
Q2 - 9:05MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
34
Q2 - 9:06HOUBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)29
34
Q2 - 9:14HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
31
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot29
31
Q2 - 9:34HOUHoward 1' Layup (8 PTS)29
31
Q2 - 9:35HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
29
Q2 - 9:36HOUMISS Howard 2' Layup29
29
Q2 - 9:44HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
29
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot29
29
Q2 - 10:02HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
29
Q2 - 10:02HOUHoward 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)29
29
Q2 - 10:03HOUMISS Smith 2' Running Reverse Layup29
27
Q2 - 10:11HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
27
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
27
Q2 - 10:27HOUHoward 2' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)29
27
Q2 - 10:50MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
25
Q2 - 10:56HOUBrewer P.FOUL (P1.T1)27
25
Q2 - 11:08HOUHoward Violation:Kicked Ball27
25
Q2 - 11:20HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
25
Q2 - 11:27HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
25
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot27
25
Q2 - 11:48HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
25
Q2 - 11:48HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
24
Q2 - 11:48MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T1)27
23
Q2 - 12:0027
23
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU27
23
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound27
23
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
23
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAEnnis L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)27
23
Q1 - 0:13.0HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
23
Q1 - 0:13.0HOUMISS Harden 15' Step Back Jump Shot27
23
Q1 - 0:36.0MIACole 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
23
Q1 - 0:59.0HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)25
23
Q1 - 1:06HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
21
Q1 - 1:08HOUMISS Terry 3' Driving Layup25
21
Q1 - 1:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
21
Q1 - 1:26MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Deng24
21
Q1 - 1:26HOUSUB: Papanikolaou FOR Motiejunas24
21
Q1 - 1:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
21
Q1 - 1:26HOUMotiejunas Shooting Block Foul (P2.T4)23
21
Q1 - 1:45HOUBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)23
21
Q1 - 2:05MIABosh 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)23
18
Q1 - 2:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
18
Q1 - 2:26HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot21
18
Q1 - 2:50HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Ariza21
18
Q1 - 2:50HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)21
18
Q1 - 2:50HOUROCKETS Rebound21
18
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Ennis 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
18
Q1 - 2:59MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18
Q1 - 3:00HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup21
18
Q1 - 3:05MIAHarden STEAL (1 STL)21
18
Q1 - 3:25MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)21
18
Q1 - 3:26HOUMISS Motiejunas 7' Jump Shot21
18
Q1 - 3:45MIASUB: Cole FOR Wade21
18
Q1 - 3:45MIAGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
18
Q1 - 3:45HOUSUB: Smith FOR Howard20
18
Q1 - 3:45HOUSUB: Terry FOR Beverley20
18
Q1 - 3:45MIASUB: Bosh FOR Andersen20
18
Q1 - 3:45MIASUB: Ennis FOR Chalmers20
18
Q1 - 3:45MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 3:45HOUHoward S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
18
Q1 - 4:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
18
Q1 - 4:05HOUMISS Ariza 1' Driving Layup19
18
Q1 - 4:21MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)19
18
Q1 - 4:23MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
18
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Reverse Layup16
18
Q1 - 4:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
18
Q1 - 4:36HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 4:45HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup16
18
Q1 - 5:00HOUMotiejunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 5:19MIADeng 16' Pullup Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)16
16
Q1 - 5:39HOUMotiejunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)14
16
Q1 - 5:53MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)14
14
Q1 - 6:01HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)12
14
Q1 - 6:07MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)12
14
Q1 - 6:25MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
14
Q1 - 6:25HOUHarden 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)12
14
Q1 - 6:29MIAAriza STEAL (3 STL)12
12
Q1 - 6:32MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
12
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
12
Q1 - 6:50HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
12
Q1 - 6:50MIAGranger S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
11
Q1 - 6:50HOUMotiejunas 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
11
Q1 - 7:00HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot12
9
Q1 - 7:21MIASUB: Granger FOR Bosh12
9
Q1 - 7:21HOUMotiejunas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
9
Q1 - 7:21HOUMotiejunas OFF.Foul (P1)12
9
Q1 - 7:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
9
Q1 - 7:31MIADeng 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)12
9
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Deng Layup10
9
Q1 - 7:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
9
Q1 - 7:39HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
9
Q1 - 7:49MIADeng 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)10
9
Q1 - 8:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9
Q1 - 8:01HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
9
Q1 - 8:24HOUHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)6
9
Q1 - 8:31MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
9
Q1 - 8:52HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
9
Q1 - 9:04MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)4
9
Q1 - 9:28HOUAriza 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Motiejunas 1 AST)4
9
Q1 - 9:48HOUBeverley Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
7
Q1 - 9:48HOUBeverley Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:48MIA4
5
Q1 - 9:48MIAChalmers C.P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
5
Q1 - 9:49MIAAriza STEAL (2 STL)4
5
Q1 - 9:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
5
Q1 - 9:58HOUMISS Howard 5' Jump Hook Shot4
5
Q1 - 10:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
5
Q1 - 10:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
5
Q1 - 10:13HOUBeverley S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
5
Q1 - 10:17HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
5
Q1 - 10:23HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
5
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
5
Q1 - 10:45HOUMotiejunas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)2
5
Q1 - 10:48MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)2
3
Q1 - 11:09HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)2
3
Q1 - 11:15MIAMotiejunas STEAL (1 STL)2
0
Q1 - 11:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:20HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
0
Q1 - 11:43HOUHarden S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.8%
HOU
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
25
68%
HOU
20
35
57%
Midrange
MIA
9
26
35%
HOU
8
17
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
HOU
13
19.5
31
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
15
25
60%
HOU
20
28
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1547%7.5 / 16
D. Wade1558%7.5 / 13
H. Whiteside1464%7.0 / 11
L. Deng1063%5.0 / 8
J. Ennis III750%3.5 / 7
N. Cole643%3.0 / 7
D. Granger536%2.5 / 7
C. Andersen467%2.0 / 3
M. Chalmers375%1.5 / 2
S. Williams0-0.0 / 3
A. Dawkins0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2870%14.0 / 20
D. Howard2364%11.5 / 18
D. Motiejunas1250%6.0 / 12
J. Smith1260%6.0 / 10
P. Beverley11110%5.5 / 5
C. Brewer1169%5.5 / 8
I. Canaan880%4.0 / 5
J. Terry660%3.0 / 5
T. Ariza220%1.0 / 5
K. Papanikolaou217%1.0 / 6
J. Dorsey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+10
-21
81
HOU
79
+19
-16
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.8%
HOU
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
107.0
MIA 85.9
HOU 121.1 +35.2
Pace
91.0
96.6
MIA 87.9
HOU 99.6 +11.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.6
MIA 16.4
HOU 14.5 −1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
51.2%
MIA 47.1%
HOU 57.2% +10.1%
TO %
15.2%
16.4%
MIA 21.0%
HOU 14.4% −6.6%
ORB %
23.3%
26.8%
MIA 20.5%
HOU 40.5% +20.0%
FTrt
30.6
31.2
MIA 36.8 +3.1
HOU 33.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
60.0%
MIA 66.7% +15.5%
HOU 51.2%
STL %
8.6%
9.8%
MIA 6.5%
HOU 13.7% +7.2%
BLK %
8.0%
8.0%
MIA 5.8% +3.8%
HOU 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
53.3%
MIA 48.8%
HOU 58.7% +9.9%
Rim FG%
59.7%
58.0%
MIA 68.0% +10.9%
HOU 57.1%
Mid FG%
40.9%
37.1%
MIA 34.6%
HOU 47.1% +12.5%
3P %
33.5%
34.8%
MIA 23.5%
HOU 41.9% +18.4%
FT %
74.1%
71.5%
MIA 60.0%
HOU 71.4% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
39.2%
MIA 36.8%
HOU 42.2% +5.4%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
21.6%
MIA 38.2%
HOU 20.5% −17.8%
3P Att. %
26.2%
39.2%
MIA 25.0%
HOU 37.3% +12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9295
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points79115
Rebounds3348
Assists2021
Steals613
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals30-6841-83
At-the-Rim FG17-2520-35
Midrange FG9-268-17
2-Point FG26-5128-52
3-Point FG4-1713-31
Free Throws15-2520-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
27.4
15
47%
4
2
0
0
4
2
2
2
6-8
75%
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
25.5
15
58%
4
3
0
0
2
0
0
4
5-5
100%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
24.4
10
63%
6
1
1
0
4
1
3
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
20.4
3
75%
1
5
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 245 · 36
19.6
4
67%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
27.6
6
43%
2
4
0
0
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
24.2
7
50%
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
23.4
5
36%
1
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
19.8
14
64%
6
0
0
2
3
2
2
4
2-6
33%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
10.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 219 · 23
8.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
8.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'1" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
49%
33
20
6
3
21
0
8
25
15-25
60%
26-51
51%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.