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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 3, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards29%9492
1Spurs71%101101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
36
33
15
3
8
1
2
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
7-11
5-10
64%
45%
0-2
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.5
33
34
15
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
42%
2-3
67%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
32
28
12
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
6-9
5-9
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
26
23
12
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.2
17
22
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.6
29
8
11
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
5-6
1-2
83%
47%
0-2
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
20
21
10
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
19
25
3
5
1
0
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.1
16
14
9
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.8
12
16
0
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.1
9
0
0-1
45%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.7
4
0
1-1
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.7
2
0
0-0
38%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
35
30
10
6
1
1
1
0
1
3
3
1-4
25%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
33
28
19
4
4
0
1
2
0
1
3
3-4
75%
8-10
4-8
80%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.7
31
30
4
9
4
1
1
2
2
3
6
0-2
0%
2-8
6-11
25%
50%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.0
28
18
16
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
7-8
2-4
88%
55%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
26
28
12
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.4
28
25
5
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.7
25
17
14
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
7-8
2-4
88%
54%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
15
21
15
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
3-5
60%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
9
12
2
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.1
8
7
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
2
18
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
5
0
1-1
53%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.6
2
0
0-0
40%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.