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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 3, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies
85
19Nuggets
114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.9
27
35
18
5
2
0
1
3
1
1
4
4-4
100%
7-15
7-14
47%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
25
32
8
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
5-10
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
24
30
7
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.0
23
20
6
2
1
3
1
2
1
1
1
0-1
0%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.6
20
16
10
7
4
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
25
17
6
9
1
0
0
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.9
23
3
4
2
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
0-1
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.8
19
29
2
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.0
17
4
7
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
3-5
60%
2-5
1-1
40%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
16
22
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.9
15
16
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
6
2
12
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-5
0-0
80%
46%
1-1
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
16
0
2-4
51%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.2
37
37
25
5
11
2
1
2
2
0
5
2-3
67%
7-10
5-10
70%
48%
3-4
75%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
35
30
15
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-5
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
49%
2-4
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
33
35
23
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.1
28
30
13
13
1
0
1
0
3
2
11
3-4
75%
5-9
6-10
56%
54%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.5
25
25
4
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
53%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.4
23
18
11
10
0
2
1
5
1
1
9
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.3
20
18
11
3
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
3-4
75%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
15
6
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.3
6
13
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
6
9
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.7
6
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.6
5
15
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.3
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.