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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 5, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets42%98105
9Bulls58%101114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.1
41.0
26.2
12
45%
14
1
0
1
1
4
4
10
0-1
0%
6-13
5-9
46%
57%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.4
38.3
29.4
20
43%
2
4
1
1
2
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-14
5-10
29%
49%
3-8
38%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.5
34.4
27.2
7
32%
6
5
3
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
47%
1-4
25%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
31.4
24.3
14
58%
6
6
1
1
2
0
5
1
0-0
-
7-11
1-3
64%
44%
0-1
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
26.6
24.3
16
57%
6
3
1
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
8-12
3-7
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.1
25.6
23.5
21
53%
6
2
3
1
0
4
4
2
0-0
-
9-15
4-8
60%
45%
1-5
20%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.8
18.7
24.2
7
58%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.3
16.6
17.3
8
116%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-2
100%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
7.4
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.1
13.4
1
1-2
46%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.6
7.6
0
0-1
43%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.1
3.0
0
0-1
40%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.0
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.0
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.3
41.4
38.5
22
55%
5
1
3
2
1
1
1
4
6-7
86%
5-13
6-11
38%
49%
2-4
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
34.5
30.5
8
48%
10
3
2
1
6
3
5
5
2-3
67%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.5
34.4
32.1
27
71%
14
3
0
0
2
2
5
9
7-7
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
34.1
30.4
19
48%
3
9
2
1
0
3
1
2
6-6
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
47%
1-4
25%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.0
23.9
28.5
10
78%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
27.2
24.2
9
58%
6
4
1
0
0
3
3
3
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
27.1
21.2
17
66%
8
1
0
1
2
1
2
6
2-2
100%
6-8
2-3
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.0
15.3
18.7
2
33%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.9
2.2
12.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.2
8.4
0
0-1
44%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.3
1.2
0
0-0
43%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
1.1
0
0-0
45%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.3
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.