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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 5, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Knicks19%9083
12Grizzlies81%102105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
34
31
12
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
2-8
25%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.3
31
23
7
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
41%
1-4
25%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.3
30
29
13
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
3-3
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.8
22
21
10
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
46%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.2
20
25
7
3
2
1
1
1
5
0
3
1-1
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.2
31
23
19
14
1
1
1
0
1
3
11
3-4
75%
5-5
2-5
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.7
29
13
7
4
1
2
0
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
1-2
38%
43%
0-4
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.6
22
16
4
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
22
15
4
5
2
2
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
29
1
3-7
43%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.2
11
0
1-3
44%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 34.7
5
0
1-1
48%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.1
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.9
28
31
14
8
4
1
1
2
4
1
7
4-5
80%
5-12
7-13
42%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
27
29
22
7
7
2
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
7-9
4-8
78%
51%
2-3
67%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
26
27
11
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
53%
1-3
33%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.0
25
21
14
2
1
7
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
52%
1-1
100%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.0
17
9
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
54%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.9
23
24
8
4
4
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
21
19
8
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
15
11
7
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-4
1-3
25%
54%
1-3
33%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.6
15
17
3
7
3
0
0
0
3
1
6
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
14
20
4
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.9
12
16
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
10
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-4
25%
0-3
0-1
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.9
6
10
4
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.