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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 5, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder
91
2Warriors
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.3
32
30
14
10
3
2
1
0
2
0
10
7-11
64%
2-12
6-11
17%
51%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
31
32
4
5
1
1
0
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
29
27
22
7
5
1
2
0
2
4
3
11-14
79%
4-16
7-16
25%
45%
1-5
20%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
21
22
10
9
1
1
1
1
0
2
7
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
20
21
4
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
29
22
17
10
2
1
1
0
1
6
4
4-4
100%
5-9
2-3
56%
45%
1-2
50%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
24
19
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.7
21
30
8
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
11
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.2
8
21
6
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.5
7
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.6
6
4
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.2
12
0
1-2
53%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
36
26
23
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-4
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
48%
5-5
100%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
31
31
19
9
6
4
2
0
2
0
9
4-4
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
53%
1-4
25%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
29
35
11
13
5
1
2
3
1
2
11
0-4
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
3-7
43%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
19
28
19
3
0
1
1
1
3
0
3
4-5
80%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
3-5
60%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
17
23
6
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
4-6
67%
1-8
5-11
13%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
34
25
8
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.8
28
16
12
2
3
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
2-3
67%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
21
21
8
8
2
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.3
17
17
3
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.1
5
6
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.6
4
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
4
0
0-0
48%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.2
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.