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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets57%103105
8Cavaliers43%10193
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.1
37
31
17
19
2
0
1
1
4
10
9
5-11
45%
6-13
6-10
46%
58%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.5
36
30
13
6
3
5
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
3-10
30%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.4
33
32
21
7
9
1
1
0
7
2
5
7-7
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
50%
2-7
29%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
30
27
7
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
1-7
14%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
27
25
10
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
53%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.1
26
24
16
5
2
0
1
2
2
0
5
1-4
25%
6-8
4-9
75%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.3
24
17
6
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
2-3
67%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.8
21
22
12
1
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
2-3
67%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
6
13
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-1
100%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.6
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.1
9
0
1-1
47%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.1
3
0
0-1
41%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.0
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.0
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.8
41
25
38
2
3
1
1
0
4
1
1
4-4
100%
11-18
4-9
61%
48%
4-8
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.3
39
31
17
16
4
0
1
0
1
3
13
3-6
50%
7-16
4-8
44%
49%
0-3
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
35
31
9
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
2-5
40%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.8
32
38
11
6
0
1
1
1
1
5
1
7-7
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.9
27
22
5
3
2
3
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
1-2
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
18
20
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-4
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.7
16
18
2
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.3
16
17
3
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.3
10
16
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
33%
2-4
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.1
6
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.5
21
1
2-5
42%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.