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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks62%10097
3076ers38%9677
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 30.9
32.2
25.2
11
53%
12
7
1
1
0
4
3
9
1-1
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 23.1
31.9
32.3
18
65%
3
5
0
1
0
5
0
3
2-4
50%
2-5
5-10
40%
48%
4-7
57%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.4
27.4
27.3
18
91%
3
3
5
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
2-2
100%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.6
23.2
15.0
6
50%
3
0
0
0
0
5
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.1
15.3
30.9
7
35%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
25.9
22.2
12
100%
5
4
2
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
6-6
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.5
23.6
23.7
4
67%
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
23.6
21.3
15
63%
4
6
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
2-6
33%
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 23.6
21.1
4.0
2
20%
1
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.0
15.8
19.5
4
40%
2
2
1
0
4
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.4
15.3
1
1-2
45%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
5.7
0
1-2
48%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.6
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 19.8
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.1
32.8
34.2
8
29%
3
0
2
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
1-9
11%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
30.5
30.8
5
17%
5
5
1
1
1
4
1
4
3-4
75%
1-9
5-10
11%
45%
0-4
0%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
29.7
27.0
14
72%
6
0
3
1
1
5
3
3
4-4
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.7
28.5
26.4
13
60%
5
1
2
1
2
2
4
1
1-2
50%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.8
18.1
19.8
3
18%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
1-8
3-6
13%
52%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
24.6
18.7
7
54%
5
1
2
1
2
2
1
4
7-8
88%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.8
24.2
9.4
11
79%
7
5
1
0
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
1-2
50%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.7
23.5
29.5
12
29%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
49%
0-7
0%
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
18.0
12.3
4
67%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
10.1
11.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
16.2
1
2-4
48%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.8
7.0
0
0-1
49%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.8
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.