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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies36%9486
6Hawks64%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
34.3
28.3
17
55%
9
6
3
1
0
5
2
7
1-1
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.9
32.8
29.9
16
58%
7
3
2
1
2
3
1
6
4-4
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
27.6
26.5
9
46%
1
3
1
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.0
20.6
22.7
8
50%
4
1
1
2
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.0
4.5
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.9
30.9
23.6
12
51%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.9
20.7
13.9
5
50%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-4
25%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
18.4
12.7
4
41%
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
17.6
17.5
4
67%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.9
13.0
8.6
7
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.7
10.3
16.3
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
9.3
19.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
6.3
0
1-1
44%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.6
34.3
32.8
25
79%
3
6
2
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
49%
3-4
75%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.8
34.0
32.9
14
70%
3
1
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
4-9
44%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.9
33.3
33.5
11
44%
9
4
1
2
0
4
2
7
7-8
88%
2-8
5-10
25%
50%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
31.5
31.5
5
36%
3
0
3
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
30.7
30.1
12
38%
3
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-15
6-12
33%
54%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
19.1
21.2
4
46%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
17.1
16.1
13
111%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
3-4
75%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.5
14.9
10.1
8
80%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
2-2
100%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.3
13.8
14.5
4
35%
1
2
3
1
0
3
1
0
2-4
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.5
11.4
7.2
0
0%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.8
6.4
0
1-1
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.7
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.9
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.