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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 10, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Spurs77%108108
29Timberwolves23%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.6
35.8
1.6
22
74%
10
1
1
0
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
4-5
0-0
80%
42%
4-9
44%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.7
32.1
17.7
11
39%
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-12
2-4
33%
55%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
29.9
33.2
7
51%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.7
24.9
19.5
12
51%
5
1
0
0
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.7
21.0
24.9
13
84%
6
2
0
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
5-6
5-10
83%
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
27.2
26.2
12
68%
2
5
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
55%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
26.2
24.1
19
74%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
5-7
2-5
71%
51%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
21.6
10.4
5
36%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
1-4
25%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.0
16.7
27.6
7
40%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
2-7
4-7
29%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
2.5
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.1
2.1
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
24.1
1
2-5
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
12.3
0
1-3
55%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 19.9
37.0
37.4
18
62%
3
2
0
1
0
4
0
3
8-8
100%
5-11
6-13
45%
44%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 32.1
31.9
18.8
10
41%
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
5-5
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
1-4
25%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 25.0
30.9
31.1
18
71%
12
1
1
1
4
0
5
7
4-4
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
23.5
28.6
4
25%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
5-11
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.6
18.4
20.1
2
17%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.8
26.2
22.2
19
60%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
1-3
33%
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.8
25.3
10.8
9
53%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 21.8
24.5
18.9
6
38%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
14.1
11.3
3
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-3
33%
Miroslav Raduljica
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
5.8
7.3
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 21.0
2.5
3.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 22.2
27.0
1
5-10
48%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 31.9
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 29.0
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.