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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat27%97104
3Clippers73%10690
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.8
39
34
34
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
6-7
86%
11-15
6-11
73%
52%
2-5
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.0
36
32
17
4
10
1
1
0
2
2
2
7-9
78%
5-13
8-15
38%
51%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.7
34
30
10
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
18
29
2
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.5
17
22
4
5
0
1
1
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
59%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
30
19
5
5
6
3
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.6
29
19
23
16
0
2
1
2
0
5
11
3-4
75%
10-13
2-5
77%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.7
24
23
6
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-4
50%
43%
0-3
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
8
14
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
5
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
7
0
0-1
45%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
6
0
0-1
48%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
5
0
0-1
43%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 25.8
39
34
26
6
3
0
1
0
2
3
3
5-7
71%
9-16
8-15
56%
54%
1-3
33%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
36
30
23
3
9
0
2
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
52%
3-8
38%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 30.5
35
28
14
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
52%
2-4
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.5
33
32
4
6
0
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-2
0%
2-3
4-6
67%
68%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 34.8
32
30
8
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
57%
2-2
100%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.8
22
21
4
2
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
1-7
2-5
14%
48%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 26.7
18
18
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 28.1
12
16
5
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 23.8
7
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 29.0
4
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.8
2
0
0-0
45%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.