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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Trail Blazers61%106106
26Lakers39%10294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.5
36.7
34.5
34
67%
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
9-15
4-9
60%
49%
4-8
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
36.1
35.1
15
42%
9
3
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
6-16
9-19
38%
48%
1-2
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
34.7
31.9
16
67%
0
5
2
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
3-7
43%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.1
33.4
33.6
11
63%
9
6
0
1
0
1
1
8
2-4
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
1-3
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.7
32.0
19.7
9
43%
12
3
2
0
0
0
3
9
1-1
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.9
20.5
17.9
10
92%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.9
18.9
20.1
9
56%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
3-7
43%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
11.7
10.1
1
17%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.1
8.8
10.2
1
27%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.8
7.3
9.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
8.6
0
0-1
48%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.0
7.5
0
1-2
47%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 26.4
4.7
0
0-1
49%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.9
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.6
32.8
19.9
8
46%
1
12
1
1
0
3
1
0
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-4
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
30.6
8.8
17
61%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
1-1
44%
46%
3-5
60%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.5
27.9
23.4
14
59%
5
0
0
0
3
3
0
5
2-2
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
50%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
27.4
24.0
3
31%
8
4
0
1
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
55%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.1
26.8
26.6
10
46%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
2-4
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 33.1
20.6
21.9
13
70%
9
3
1
0
0
0
2
7
1-3
33%
6-8
4-9
75%
48%
0-0
-
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
20.0
10.8
6
100%
6
1
0
0
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
18.9
25.0
9
42%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.6
17.6
23.6
9
38%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
1-8
13%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
17.4
22.4
5
63%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 36.4
16.9
1
3-6
47%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.6
10.6
0
1-2
46%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 22.6
10.4
0
1-3
44%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.9
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.