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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 13, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs54%9893
15Wizards46%97101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
34
31
10
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
2-10
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.7
31
21
14
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
7-16
4-8
44%
49%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.0
28
23
10
3
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2-4
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.7
26
23
11
12
3
1
1
1
1
3
9
1-2
50%
5-14
4-9
36%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.6
7
15
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
25
25
12
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
4-6
67%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
24
26
6
2
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.5
23
18
8
2
5
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
18
8
9
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.7
18
23
8
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
4-7
3-5
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
7
15
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
1
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.1
4
0
1-1
51%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.5
37
33
13
5
3
2
1
2
2
2
3
5-6
83%
4-9
4-9
44%
43%
0-1
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
36
34
25
1
8
0
2
2
3
0
1
5-6
83%
7-12
5-10
58%
47%
2-3
67%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
28
26
7
11
0
0
0
0
1
0
11
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.3
27
24
13
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
3-4
75%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
24
26
7
10
0
1
1
0
3
1
9
3-3
100%
2-9
5-9
22%
51%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
25
21
7
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
24
17
10
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.1
20
18
17
8
1
0
0
1
1
2
6
5-5
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.8
12
10
2
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.1
8
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.6
12
0
1-3
49%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.7
3
0
0-1
51%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.7
2
0
0-0
40%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.