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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 13, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Cavaliers38%105100
9Suns62%109107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.8
44.0
34.7
9
32%
1
6
1
1
0
8
0
1
0-0
-
3-10
6-13
30%
48%
1-4
25%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
38.5
28.8
29
75%
1
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
8-14
57%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
36.7
34.5
33
70%
7
5
1
1
0
5
1
6
8-13
62%
8-10
7-12
80%
57%
3-8
38%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.3
26.7
34.0
9
38%
9
0
0
1
1
1
6
3
2-2
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.5
16.2
25.5
2
26%
6
0
0
0
0
4
2
4
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.8
32.0
28.9
10
100%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
5-5
4-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.7
21.8
8.6
6
38%
11
2
0
0
0
0
4
7
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
50%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.3
11.5
11.7
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
33%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.9
7.9
22.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
4.7
24.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.4
16.5
0
1-1
46%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.1
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.4
38.4
29.8
35
77%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
13-18
5-9
72%
52%
2-3
67%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.1
37.8
34.0
12
56%
7
6
1
2
1
1
0
7
5-6
83%
2-5
5-10
40%
51%
1-3
33%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 21.6
37.4
24.3
13
67%
10
3
1
1
1
1
3
7
3-4
75%
5-8
3-5
63%
55%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
32.9
31.1
18
57%
2
4
2
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
7-11
4-8
64%
54%
1-4
25%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 29.7
31.2
26.7
10
64%
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
2-5
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
20.3
19.5
9
50%
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.9
18.4
28.3
5
40%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
13.2
9.5
5
87%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
65%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.0
7.5
19.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.4
3.0
12.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.4
2.9
0
0-1
49%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.4
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.1
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.4
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.