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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 14, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Wizards37%96105
13Bulls63%10199
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
38
35
21
2
9
2
2
0
3
1
1
3-5
60%
6-13
5-11
46%
46%
2-4
50%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.5
36
34
17
5
6
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
7-12
4-9
58%
42%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
32
27
11
9
0
0
0
1
1
1
8
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
52%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.3
32
25
22
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
6-6
100%
5-5
2-5
100%
48%
2-7
29%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
30
25
13
4
8
1
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
21
23
2
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
18
20
8
9
0
0
0
1
2
4
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.1
16
19
4
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.8
10
11
7
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.1
7
9
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.6
9
0
1-2
48%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.7
2
0
0-1
51%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.7
2
0
0-0
38%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.3
38
39
13
2
2
4
2
1
0
0
2
5-6
83%
1-6
5-10
17%
49%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
36
30
32
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
6-13
6-12
46%
48%
6-9
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.5
34
32
13
8
3
0
0
0
3
2
6
5-7
71%
4-11
7-14
36%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.2
33
20
7
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
13
28
2
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
32
23
12
6
1
0
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.0
19
26
0
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
17
15
12
4
1
3
0
1
0
1
3
6-8
75%
0-4
1-2
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.0
17
22
8
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
45%
2-4
50%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.9
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.4
1
0
0-0
48%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
1
0
0-0
47%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.0
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.