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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 14, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hawks
105
25Celtics
91
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.9
35
29
18
10
3
2
1
2
3
1
9
7-7
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
50%
1-3
33%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
33
30
22
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-5
60%
5-7
2-5
71%
52%
3-6
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.6
32
21
22
1
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
6-6
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
2-5
40%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
27
23
4
5
3
3
1
2
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
24
10
6
5
1
4
0
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
0-5
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.5
22
20
11
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.5
21
18
3
3
2
0
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.3
16
20
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.7
14
13
9
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
7
13
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.8
6
12
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.9
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.9
37
29
14
9
2
0
1
0
2
3
6
4-4
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
28
32
17
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
27
26
3
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
20
26
7
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.0
16
20
2
5
3
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
0-4
4-7
0%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.9
27
26
6
5
5
3
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
2-6
33%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
23
20
12
8
1
0
1
0
3
5
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
54%
2-3
67%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.6
22
13
10
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.7
20
21
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.9
11
6
7
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
39%
1-1
100%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.4
9
7
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
1-6
17%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.5
2
0
0-0
48%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.6
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.