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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 14, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks53%108107
18Nuggets47%106114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.6
30
14
16
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
4-9
44%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.6
29
3
10
3
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
0-1
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
28
32
13
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
52%
1-5
20%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.2
22
34
5
4
0
1
2
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
1-9
6-13
11%
48%
0-2
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
17
10
1
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
29
2
11
5
2
0
0
1
1
3
2
1-2
50%
5-7
0-0
71%
51%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.9
26
19
13
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
5-7
1-3
71%
47%
0-6
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.6
21
14
17
3
6
0
0
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
5-10
2-3
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
20
6
10
5
2
2
0
1
0
2
3
1-1
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.4
19
8
11
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.3
34
1
4-7
61%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.6
31
1
6-12
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.9
31
1
4-9
47%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.2
44
34
29
5
12
0
1
0
3
1
4
9-13
69%
10-15
5-10
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
39
22
15
10
6
0
0
0
2
1
9
2-4
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
49%
1-5
20%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
31
37
12
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
2-6
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
30
30
22
14
0
0
1
2
3
4
10
8-8
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
54%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.4
25
21
7
9
2
1
1
2
1
2
7
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.4
22
24
13
8
1
0
1
1
2
3
5
1-1
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
21
20
8
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
14
14
5
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.3
11
9
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-2
0%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.7
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.9
12
0
1-1
43%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.0
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.