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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 14, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat21%9289
1Warriors79%103104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
34.6
28.2
7
34%
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.7
33.8
33.2
19
65%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
5-8
63%
4-7
4-8
57%
45%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.8
33.1
36.7
26
60%
7
1
0
1
0
3
2
5
8-8
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
50%
2-4
50%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
32.7
8.3
10
57%
2
6
1
0
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
2-4
0-1
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.6
28.9
22.0
10
50%
12
0
0
1
3
3
3
9
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
18.2
5.0
5
63%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
16.2
22.4
4
40%
1
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
13.6
10.7
4
69%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.7
13.1
23.4
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.5
12.3
22.5
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.7
1.7
7.6
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
37%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
1.7
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
4.8
0
1-1
45%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.9
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
32.6
28.0
19
53%
4
1
1
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
3-9
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
32.1
30.9
32
75%
5
3
2
2
0
3
2
3
3-5
60%
4-9
4-7
44%
55%
7-10
70%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
25.4
26.8
6
36%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.1
24.7
22.3
4
72%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
56%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
21.1
24.2
2
17%
5
2
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.0
30.3
25.7
9
90%
0
7
0
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
54%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
22.6
21.4
8
68%
6
5
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
53%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
19.9
22.9
8
40%
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
52%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.1
18.1
14.1
9
64%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.8
13.2
16.3
7
64%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.3
7.8
0
1-2
52%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.7
2.6
0
0-0
54%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
2.3
0
0-0
48%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.