Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Hawks	41%	101	110	122.2	90	91.8
	6	Raptors	59%	104	89	97.8	91	89.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	33.1	16	80%	8	4	3	2	3	3	1	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 28	30.1	13	65%	3	3	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	29.3	11	92%	1	2	1	0	5	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 29	27.8	22	100%	5	5	0	1	0	0	0	5	6-7	86%	8-8	100%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 27	25.4	13	54%	5	9	2	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-2	50%

Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	18.3	9	75%	0	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 31	16.9	5	83%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32	16.4	3	50%	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 26	15.0	10	100%	2	0	0	1	2	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 27	12.5	4	50%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24	6.2	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 25	4.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 36	4.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Adreian Payne #33 · · 6'10" 237 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
John Jenkins #12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	71%	32	30	7	6	17	0	4	28	14-16	88%	30-46	65%	12-23	52%

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11 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	33.1	16	80%	8	4	3	2	3	3	1	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 28	30.1	13	65%	3	3	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	29.3	11	92%	1	2	1	0	5	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 29	27.8	22	100%	5	5	0	1	0	0	0	5	6-7	86%	8-8	100%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 27	25.4	13	54%	5	9	2	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-2	50%

Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	18.3	9	75%	0	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 31	16.9	5	83%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32	16.4	3	50%	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 26	15.0	10	100%	2	0	0	1	2	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 27	12.5	4	50%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24	6.2	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 25	4.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 36	4.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Adreian Payne #33 · · 6'10" 237 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
John Jenkins #12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	71%	32	30	7	6	17	0	4	28	14-16	88%	30-46	65%	12-23	52%

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6 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 25	32.4	25	63%	3	2	2	0	4	1	0	3	2-4	50%	10-16	63%	1-2	50%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 29	31.5	11	39%	3	5	2	0	2	3	1	2	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-6	0%
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 24	26.1	5	28%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 23	23.5	4	40%	6	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 28	22.8	8	57%	5	0	0	0	4	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%

James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 28	26.6	17	71%	6	3	1	2	3	4	1	5	3-3	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 28	20.7	5	42%	4	2	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 28	20.7	8	57%	1	6	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 26	19.9	2	25%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 29	15.8	4	33%	2	0	2	1	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lucas Nogueira #92 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bruno Caboclo #5 · F · 6'9" 205 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	47%	35	20	7	3	17	0	12	23	13-17	76%	29-57	51%	6-25	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.43 71.4%

TOR

0.94 46.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

21

29

72%

TOR

18

30

60%

Midrange

ATL

9

17

53%

TOR

11

27

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

12

18.0

23

52%

78%

TOR

6

9.0

25

24%

36%

Free Throws

ATL

14

16

88%

TOR

13

17

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Horford	22	100%	11.0 / 11
P. Millsap	16	80%	8.0 / 10
D. Carroll	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Teague	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Korver	11	92%	5.5 / 6
K. Bazemore	10	100%	5.0 / 5
D. Schröder	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Sefolosha	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Scott	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Muscala	4	67%	2.0 / 3
P. Antic	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Mack	0	-	0.0 / 2
E. Brand	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	25	63%	12.5 / 20
J. Johnson	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Lowry	11	39%	5.5 / 14
A. Johnson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
G. Vasquez	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Ross	5	28%	2.5 / 9
L. Williams	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Valančiūnas	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Hansbrough	4	33%	2.0 / 6
P. Patterson	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 108.9 4 111.2	ATL 122.2 +24.4 TOR 97.8
Pace	12 94.0 23 92.8	ATL 91.8 +2.5 TOR 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time	17 15.1 9 15.8	ATL 15.7 −0.4 TOR 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 52.7% 8 50.8%	ATL 69.6% +23.3% TOR 46.3%
TO %	16 14.3% 4 13.0%	ATL 18.3% TOR 17.5% −0.8%
ORB %	30 21.4% 11 25.6%	ATL 14.8% TOR 30.0% +15.2%
FTrt	21 25.9 8 29.5	ATL 23.2 +2.5 TOR 20.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 67.6% 28 54.7%	ATL 71.4% +14.3% TOR 57.1%
STL %	4 9.6% 18 8.0%	ATL 7.8% +0.1% TOR 7.7%
BLK %	11 8.1% 23 7.2%	ATL 10.5% +4.0% TOR 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.7% 6 53.8%	ATL 71.4% +24.6% TOR 46.8%
Rim FG%	12 58.1% 10 59.4%	ATL 72.4% +12.4% TOR 60.0%
Mid FG%	2 42.2% 11 40.5%	ATL 52.9% +12.2% TOR 40.7%
3P %	2 38.0% 11 35.2%	ATL 52.2% +28.2% TOR 24.0%
FT %	5 77.8% 2 78.7%	ATL 87.5% +11.0% TOR 76.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.1% 19 35.0%	ATL 42.0% +5.4% TOR 36.6%
Mid Att. %	5 31.8% 10 34.9%	ATL 24.6% −8.3% TOR 32.9%
3P Att. %	4 32.1% 8 30.2%	ATL 33.3% +2.8% TOR 30.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	TOR
Possessions	90	91
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	110	89
Rebounds	32	35
Assists	30	20
Steals	7	7
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (0)	12 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	23 (2)
Field Goals	42-69	35-82
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	18-30
Midrange FG	9-17	11-27
2-Point FG	30-46	29-57
3-Point FG	12-23	6-25
Free Throws	14-16	13-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg