Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Nuggets	33%	104	89	91.8	97	105.9
	10	Mavericks	67%	110	97	100.0	97	89.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	40.5	16	47%	5	0	1	0	1	2	0	5	1-1	100%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	40.1	10	42%	6	1	1	0	3	5	1	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	39.2	11	32%	6	12	0	0	0	3	1	5	4-9	44%	2-10	20%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	27.6	11	92%	8	1	1	2	1	2	4	4	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	16.9	2	14%	6	0	1	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	0-0	-

JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	27.9	13	59%	14	1	0	0	5	3	3	11	3-8	38%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	27.8	14	47%	4	7	1	0	4	6	0	4	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	16.4	9	64%	3	0	1	1	1	4	1	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	0.7	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	47%	52	23	6	3	15	0	13	39	12-25	48%	25-58	43%	9-25	36%

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17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	40.5	16	47%	5	0	1	0	1	2	0	5	1-1	100%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	40.1	10	42%	6	1	1	0	3	5	1	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	39.2	11	32%	6	12	0	0	0	3	1	5	4-9	44%	2-10	20%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	27.6	11	92%	8	1	1	2	1	2	4	4	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	16.9	2	14%	6	0	1	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	0-0	-

JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	27.9	13	59%	14	1	0	0	5	3	3	11	3-8	38%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	27.8	14	47%	4	7	1	0	4	6	0	4	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	16.4	9	64%	3	0	1	1	1	4	1	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	0.7	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	47%	52	23	6	3	15	0	13	39	12-25	48%	25-58	43%	9-25	36%

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10 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chandler Parsons F · 6'10" 230 · 26	36.2	18	64%	7	2	1	0	0	0	1	6	5-6	83%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 32	33.5	11	92%	16	1	0	1	2	2	4	12	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 29	32.7	14	47%	1	4	1	0	4	4	0	1	1-1	100%	5-13	38%	1-2	50%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 37	30.0	25	63%	9	1	1	0	0	2	1	8	5-5	100%	4-13	31%	4-5	80%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 29	28.6	2	14%	9	8	1	0	5	3	0	9	0-2	0%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%

Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 24	17.8	8	44%	5	2	0	1	1	3	3	2	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 31	17.6	9	64%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 32	17.1	6	43%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Dwight Powell F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23	14.5	4	50%	1	0	2	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 35	11.9	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Smith C · 6'10" 250 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ricky Ledo #1 · G · 6'7" 195 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	52	22	7	2	14	0	10	42	23-29	79%	25-54	46%	8-25	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.94 46.8%

DAL

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

16

25

64%

DAL

15

23

65%

Midrange

DEN

9

33

27%

DAL

10

31

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

DAL

8

12.0

25

32%

48%

Free Throws

DEN

12

25

48%

DAL

23

29

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	16	47%	8.0 / 17
J. Nelson	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Hickson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Lawson	11	32%	5.5 / 17
K. Faried	11	92%	5.5 / 6
W. Chandler	10	42%	5.0 / 12
D. Arthur	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Gee	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Nurkić	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki	25	63%	12.5 / 20
C. Parsons	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Ellis	14	47%	7.0 / 15
T. Chandler	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Barea	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Aminu	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Harris	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Powell	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Rondo	2	14%	1.0 / 7
R. Jefferson	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 5 109.3	DEN 91.8 DAL 100.0 +8.2
Pace	4 95.9 8 95.4	DEN 105.9 +16.0 DAL 89.9
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 18 15.1	DEN 13.6 −2.4 DAL 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 6 51.5%	DEN 46.4% DAL 46.8% +0.4%
TO %	15 14.3% 3 13.0%	DEN 13.8% −0.3% DAL 14.1%
ORB %	10 26.5% 24 23.7%	DEN 23.6% +3.2% DAL 20.4%
FTrt	12 27.8 19 26.2	DEN 30.1 DAL 36.7 +6.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 20 56.7%	DEN 67.6% +0.9% DAL 66.7%
STL %	17 8.0% 13 8.4%	DEN 6.2% DAL 7.2% +1.0%
BLK %	22 7.2% 17 7.6%	DEN 5.6% +2.2% DAL 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.8% 7 53.7%	DEN 46.8% DAL 50.5% +3.7%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 4 60.3%	DEN 64.0% DAL 65.2% +1.2%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 5 41.5%	DEN 27.3% DAL 32.3% +5.0%
3P %	28 32.5% 13 35.2%	DEN 36.0% +4.0% DAL 32.0%
FT %	24 73.5% 16 75.2%	DEN 48.0% DAL 79.3% +31.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 17 35.3%	DEN 30.1% +1.0% DAL 29.1%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 12 35.1%	DEN 39.8% DAL 39.2% −0.5%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 9 29.6%	DEN 30.1% DAL 31.6% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	DAL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	22.0	25.9
Points	89	97
Rebounds	52	52
Assists	23	22
Steals	6	7
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (0)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (0)	42 (1)
Field Goals	34-83	33-79
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	15-23
Midrange FG	9-33	10-31
2-Point FG	25-58	25-54
3-Point FG	9-25	8-25
Free Throws	12-25	23-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg