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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 16, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat
95
19Kings
83
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.8
39
35
30
7
3
3
1
1
1
1
6
5-6
83%
8-17
6-12
47%
52%
3-3
100%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
38
17
12
6
5
2
1
1
3
1
5
5-6
83%
2-8
1-2
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.8
37
33
25
6
4
2
1
2
0
1
5
1-2
50%
9-14
4-8
64%
48%
2-4
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
35
30
7
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.6
15
24
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
24
4
7
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
47%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
18
10
7
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
18
20
0
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.7
11
19
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
5
12
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.5
18
0
2-3
61%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
43%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
3
0
0-1
49%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.9
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.4
38
35
17
11
5
1
1
0
8
0
11
9-9
100%
4-12
9-18
33%
51%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
38
36
13
1
6
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.9
37
31
15
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
3-7
43%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.6
33
23
10
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
20
22
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.7
24
4
4
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
17
5
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
15
19
11
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
3-3
100%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.3
15
16
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.3
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
63%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.3
23
0
4-7
54%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.1
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.