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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 17, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers22%9389
19Pistons78%104107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.1
28
26
9
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
2-6
33%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
27
28
4
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-3
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
24
34
15
1
6
1
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
5-9
5-12
56%
44%
1-3
33%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.8
24
32
7
7
0
1
1
2
2
2
5
1-2
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
22
27
11
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Larry Drew II
· 6'2" 180 · 24.9
24
11
6
2
9
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
39%
0-2
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
21
21
5
1
1
2
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.8
19
19
7
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.8
17
15
12
10
1
1
0
0
3
3
7
2-2
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
49%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.8
16
13
9
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
12
8
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
7
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
13
1
2-4
48%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 34.0
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
35
28
17
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
3-6
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
32
32
12
13
4
2
1
1
3
6
7
4-4
100%
4-11
7-13
36%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.4
30
26
8
15
0
1
1
3
0
7
8
0-0
-
4-15
6-10
27%
58%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.7
26
23
20
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
6-8
75%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.3
22
30
10
1
6
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-9
33%
44%
2-6
33%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
26
23
15
2
2
6
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-3
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.2
26
17
6
3
10
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
24
14
16
6
2
2
0
0
1
3
3
2-5
40%
4-5
0-1
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.9
8
16
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
53%
1-2
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
7
19
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.4
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.