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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 18, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder68%103127
27Magic32%9799
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
28
33
16
8
1
2
1
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
1-2
5-9
50%
54%
4-8
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.3
28
37
21
11
8
1
1
1
3
3
8
7-7
100%
7-9
7-12
78%
54%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
24
35
17
1
6
1
2
1
4
1
0
3-6
50%
7-9
8-17
78%
48%
0-3
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
24
12
10
5
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
2-4
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
2-3
67%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
18
21
5
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-3
33%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
23
21
2
3
1
3
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-4
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.2
22
14
11
9
1
1
0
0
3
0
9
1-3
33%
5-7
1-3
71%
46%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
21
31
16
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
6-7
5-10
86%
46%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.8
20
21
13
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
4-5
3-7
80%
50%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.2
15
5
6
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
54%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
6
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.6
6
3
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
6
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.5
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.9
39
33
19
4
8
3
2
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
9-17
4-9
53%
44%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.7
35
36
23
3
5
1
2
0
3
1
2
7-7
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
47%
2-6
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
35
33
9
5
1
3
1
1
1
0
5
3-3
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-8
25%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
26
36
16
7
0
0
1
0
3
4
3
2-2
100%
7-19
8-16
37%
52%
0-0
-
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
20
24
3
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.8
16
13
4
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-4
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.2
14
16
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
13
2
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.3
12
4
8
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
12
16
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
10
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
7
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.9
2
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.