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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 19, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers
76
14Wizards
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.8
31
29
11
7
3
4
1
1
1
4
3
3-4
75%
4-9
3-8
44%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
29
30
7
1
5
2
1
0
4
0
1
3-6
50%
2-12
5-11
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.1
26
27
10
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
1-5
20%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
22
27
5
4
0
1
1
1
2
1
3
1-3
33%
2-8
2-5
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.8
21
15
13
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
3-3
100%
5-10
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
25
21
12
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
3-6
50%
Larry Drew II
· 6'2" 180 · 24.9
23
17
2
0
6
1
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
0-3
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.8
22
19
9
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-4
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
19
9
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
12
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-1
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.8
11
13
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
25
1
2-5
46%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
11
0
2-4
47%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
29
34
11
4
10
1
2
0
5
1
3
3-3
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
50%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
29
28
20
8
0
0
1
2
1
1
7
2-2
100%
9-11
5-8
82%
56%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.6
23
33
10
1
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.3
22
25
10
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.4
18
26
12
6
0
4
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.6
26
12
10
6
4
1
0
2
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
25
19
6
9
1
1
0
0
2
2
7
2-4
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.1
19
17
14
9
0
0
0
0
3
6
3
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
53%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.7
19
21
8
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.8
15
11
0
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.1
5
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
5
3
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.7
5
2
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
2-2
100%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.