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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 19, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks
103
9Grizzlies
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.3
40
27
10
16
2
0
1
1
1
7
9
4-5
80%
3-6
3-5
50%
61%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.2
40
30
25
2
7
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-7
57%
6-11
5-11
55%
47%
3-7
43%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
35
32
15
4
3
1
1
2
3
0
4
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
52%
3-8
38%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.6
32
25
21
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
5-5
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
2-4
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.9
26
24
6
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.9
23
20
12
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
17
13
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.6
16
16
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.6
7
17
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
4
14
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.6
9
0
1-2
43%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.4
8
0
1-2
46%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
40
34
18
15
2
1
1
0
4
4
11
2-2
100%
8-13
6-13
62%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.0
39
35
20
8
4
1
1
1
1
1
7
8-9
89%
6-13
7-14
46%
50%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
31
31
12
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
1-6
17%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
30
28
22
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
6-7
86%
5-8
4-9
63%
49%
2-8
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.0
17
24
4
1
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
32
27
11
8
3
2
1
1
2
2
6
1-1
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
0-5
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
17
24
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.9
13
15
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.0
9
12
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
9
17
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.7
4
0
1-1
51%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.0
2
0
0-1
51%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.