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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 19, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls
94
8Cavaliers
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.3
40
38
20
7
3
1
2
1
0
1
6
7-9
78%
5-13
5-10
38%
49%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
38
34
10
10
1
1
1
5
1
3
7
2-5
40%
4-10
5-10
40%
50%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.5
37
33
11
11
2
0
0
2
0
5
6
3-4
75%
4-14
7-14
29%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
30
33
18
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
2-9
6-12
22%
47%
3-5
60%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.0
27
28
0
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.2
23
12
12
4
0
1
0
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
2-4
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.0
19
19
16
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
15
18
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.9
7
12
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.4
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.0
7
0
0-1
51%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.3
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.8
41
38
18
4
12
0
2
2
1
1
3
3-4
75%
6-14
6-13
43%
49%
1-2
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.1
36
38
26
5
4
0
1
0
6
1
4
2-3
67%
12-20
7-13
60%
57%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
34
31
20
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
45%
6-9
67%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.5
33
23
15
15
0
1
0
2
1
5
10
1-1
100%
7-14
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.4
30
23
16
12
2
1
0
0
3
5
7
9-10
90%
2-10
3-6
20%
50%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.9
27
33
6
10
0
0
1
0
0
6
4
0-1
0%
3-10
4-8
30%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.7
18
21
2
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.4
13
17
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.9
2
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.4
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.3
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
36%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.1
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.