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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 20, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
109
19Nuggets
99
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.7
32
24
18
4
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
7-15
5-9
47%
51%
1-1
100%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.6
31
31
17
15
3
2
2
1
2
3
12
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
55%
3-6
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
31
28
6
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
2-8
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.7
29
26
16
5
2
2
1
1
3
3
2
4-4
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.1
18
21
6
3
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.8
27
21
10
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
53%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.5
24
20
11
4
8
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-6
33%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
1-4
25%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.1
15
15
15
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
9-9
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
15
23
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
50%
2-3
67%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
12
19
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
6
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.6
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
38
31
11
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-3
33%
5-10
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
37
25
26
14
1
0
1
0
1
5
9
8-12
67%
9-17
4-8
53%
53%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.2
34
34
4
2
8
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
33
31
21
4
2
3
0
0
3
0
4
6-8
75%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
3-6
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.4
26
20
10
9
2
0
1
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.9
24
20
8
3
6
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
42%
0-3
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.4
19
22
9
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
16
17
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.3
14
15
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
14
1
1-3
45%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
7
0
0-1
41%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.0
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.