Final Win Prob. pScore
1545%94
76
2155%95
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
91.68379.6
CHA logo Hornets
96.38184.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA76
78
Q4 - 0:00.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)76
78
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
78
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
78
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
78
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 3)76
78
Q4 - 0:12.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
78
Q4 - 0:12.0CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Neal76
77
Q4 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Haslem76
77
Q4 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole76
77
Q4 - 0:12.0CHAHORNETS Rebound76
77
Q4 - 0:12.0CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 276
77
Q4 - 0:12.0MIACole P.FOUL (P1.PN)76
77
Q4 - 0:15.0CHASUB: Neal FOR Kidd-Gilchrist76
77
Q4 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Cole FOR Shaw. Williams76
77
Q4 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Chalmers76
77
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)76
77
Q4 - 0:15.0MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)76
77
Q4 - 0:23.0MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Haslem74
77
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)74
77
Q4 - 0:23.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
77
Q4 - 0:23.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Shaw. Williams74
76
Q4 - 0:23.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
76
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade S.FOUL (P4.PN)74
75
Q4 - 0:43.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)74
75
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
75
Q4 - 0:55.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
75
Q4 - 0:56.0CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 274
75
Q4 - 0:56.0CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
75
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)74
74
Q4 - 0:56.0CHAHORNETS Rebound74
74
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
74
Q4 - 1:14MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)74
74
Q4 - 1:14CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
74
Q4 - 1:14CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
73
Q4 - 1:14MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P5.PN)74
72
Q4 - 1:19CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
72
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
72
Q4 - 1:38MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
72
Q4 - 1:40CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 274
72
Q4 - 1:40CHAHORNETS Rebound74
72
Q4 - 1:40CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 274
72
Q4 - 1:40MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T3)74
72
Q4 - 1:42CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)74
72
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot74
72
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
72
Q4 - 2:05CHAMISS Henderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
72
Q4 - 2:31CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)74
72
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot74
72
Q4 - 2:53MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
72
Q4 - 2:54CHAMISS Walker 29' 3PT Jump Shot74
72
Q4 - 3:15CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
72
Q4 - 3:17CHAMISS Walker 22' Jump Shot74
72
Q4 - 3:37CHASUB: Williams FOR Biyombo74
72
Q4 - 3:37CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)74
72
Q4 - 3:37MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)74
72
Q4 - 3:46CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)71
72
Q4 - 4:05MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)71
72
Q4 - 4:20CHAKidd-Gilchrist Foul Turnover (P3.T13)68
72
Q4 - 4:20CHAKidd-Gilchrist Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)68
72
Q4 - 4:23CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)68
72
Q4 - 4:25MIAZeller BLOCK (2 BLK)68
72
Q4 - 4:41MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
72
Q4 - 4:43CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Stephenson68
72
Q4 - 4:43CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 268
72
Q4 - 4:43MIASUB: Wade FOR Napier68
72
Q4 - 4:43CHASUB: Biyombo FOR Jefferson68
72
Q4 - 4:43CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
72
Q4 - 4:43MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T2)68
71
Q4 - 4:53MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)68
71
Q4 - 5:07MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
71
Q4 - 5:09CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot68
71
Q4 - 5:21MIAChalmers L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)68
71
Q4 - 5:21CHAHORNETS Rebound68
71
Q4 - 5:21CHAMISS Henderson 17' Step Back Jump Shot68
71
Q4 - 5:38CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
71
Q4 - 5:39CHAMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot68
71
Q4 - 6:09MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Napier 4 AST)68
71
Q4 - 6:28MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)66
71
Q4 - 6:28CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)66
71
Q4 - 6:29CHAHORNETS Rebound66
71
Q4 - 6:29CHAMISS Jefferson 7' Hook Shot66
71
Q4 - 6:46MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)66
71
Q4 - 7:00CHAJefferson 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Zeller 6 AST)66
71
Q4 - 7:25MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
69
Q4 - 7:25CHASUB: Walker FOR Roberts65
69
Q4 - 7:25MIASUB: Bosh FOR Haslem65
69
Q4 - 7:25MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade65
69
Q4 - 7:25MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
69
Q4 - 7:25CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P2.T4)64
69
Q4 - 7:50CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
69
Q4 - 7:50CHAJefferson 1' Layup (10 PTS)64
69
Q4 - 7:52CHAMISS Roberts 12' Jump Shot64
67
Q4 - 8:09CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
67
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Napier 21' Jump Shot64
67
Q4 - 8:27CHASUB: Henderson FOR Neal64
67
Q4 - 8:27CHAZeller P.FOUL (P2.T3)64
67
Q4 - 8:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
67
Q4 - 8:34CHAMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
67
Q4 - 8:47CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
67
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
67
Q4 - 8:58CHASUB: Zeller FOR Williams64
67
Q4 - 8:5864
67
Q4 - 8:58CHARoberts Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)64
67
Q4 - 9:14MIAShaw. Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)64
67
Q4 - 9:37CHAStephenson Foul Turnover (P4.T10)61
67
Q4 - 9:37CHAStephenson OFF.Foul (P2)61
67
Q4 - 9:54MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
67
Q4 - 9:54MIAShaw. Williams 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)61
67
Q4 - 9:57MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)59
67
Q4 - 10:18CHAJefferson 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)59
67
Q4 - 10:37MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
65
Q4 - 11:01MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
65
Q4 - 11:03CHAMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
65
Q4 - 11:24MIAWade 1' Layup (15 PTS)57
65
Q4 - 11:40CHANeal P.FOUL (P2.T2)55
65
Q4 - 11:45CHAWilliams L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)55
65
Q4 - 11:45MIAHeat Rebound55
65
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Wade 8' Fadeaway Jumper55
65
Q4 - 12:0055
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJefferson BLOCK (2 BLK)55
65
Q3 - 0:04.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
65
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot55
65
Q3 - 0:21.0CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Biyombo55
65
Q3 - 0:21.0CHAStephenson P.FOUL (P1.T2)55
65
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
65
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot55
65
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
65
Q3 - 0:39.0CHAMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
65
Q3 - 1:02MIAEnnis 1' Layup (6 PTS)55
65
Q3 - 1:03MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)53
65
Q3 - 1:05MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)53
65
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Ennis 1' Tip Shot53
65
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 16' Jump Shot53
65
Q3 - 1:29CHABiyombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)53
65
Q3 - 1:29CHASUB: Neal FOR Kidd-Gilchrist53
64
Q3 - 1:29MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers53
64
Q3 - 1:29MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
64
Q3 - 1:29CHABiyombo Dunk (11 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)53
64
Q3 - 1:37CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)53
62
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Napier 11' Jump Shot53
62
Q3 - 1:56CHAKidd-Gilchrist 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)53
62
Q3 - 2:22MIAHaslem 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)53
60
Q3 - 2:50CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
60
Q3 - 2:50CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
59
Q3 - 2:50CHA51
58
Q3 - 2:50CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)51
58
Q3 - 2:50MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)51
58
Q3 - 2:50CHAHORNETS Rebound51
58
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup51
58
Q3 - 2:59MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
58
Q3 - 3:00CHAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
58
Q3 - 3:15CHASUB: Williams FOR Henderson51
58
Q3 - 3:15CHASUB: Stephenson FOR Zeller51
58
Q3 - 3:22MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Bosh51
58
Q3 - 3:22MIASUB: Haslem FOR Andersen51
58
Q3 - 3:22CHAHORNETS Rebound51
58
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Andersen 1' Alley Oop Layup51
58
Q3 - 3:24CHABiyombo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)51
58
Q3 - 3:28MIAKidd-Gilchrist STEAL (1 STL)51
58
Q3 - 3:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
58
Q3 - 3:40CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)51
58
Q3 - 3:40CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup51
58
Q3 - 3:42CHAMISS Biyombo 2' Layup51
58
Q3 - 4:02MIAAndersen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
58
Q3 - 4:20CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)49
58
Q3 - 4:20CHABiyombo 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)49
58
Q3 - 4:22CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot49
56
Q3 - 4:41MIABosh 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)49
56
Q3 - 4:52MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
56
Q3 - 4:54CHAMISS Biyombo 8' Hook Shot47
56
Q3 - 5:08CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)47
56
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot47
56
Q3 - 5:37MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)47
56
Q3 - 5:38CHAHenderson 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Zeller 5 AST)47
56
Q3 - 5:54CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
54
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Bosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper47
54
Q3 - 6:17CHABiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
54
Q3 - 6:17CHAHORNETS Rebound47
53
Q3 - 6:17CHAMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 247
53
Q3 - 6:17MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P2.T4)47
53
Q3 - 6:22MIASUB: Ennis FOR Granger47
53
Q3 - 6:22MIASUB: Napier FOR Wade47
53
Q3 - 6:22MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)47
53
Q3 - 6:22CHAHORNETS Rebound47
53
Q3 - 6:22CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
53
Q3 - 6:26CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)47
53
Q3 - 6:28CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup47
53
Q3 - 6:29CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
53
Q3 - 6:32CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)47
53
Q3 - 6:32CHAMISS Biyombo 2' Layup47
53
Q3 - 6:35CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 16' Jump Shot47
53
Q3 - 6:43CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
53
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot47
53
Q3 - 7:07CHAKidd-Gilchrist Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)47
53
Q3 - 7:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)47
53
Q3 - 7:14CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup47
53
Q3 - 7:27MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
53
Q3 - 7:44CHAKidd-Gilchrist Dunk (4 PTS) (Zeller 4 AST)45
53
Q3 - 7:58MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)45
51
Q3 - 8:14CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
51
Q3 - 8:14CHAHORNETS Rebound43
50
Q3 - 8:14CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 243
50
Q3 - 8:14MIAGranger S.FOUL (P2.T2)43
50
Q3 - 8:18CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
50
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot43
50
Q3 - 8:39CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
50
Q3 - 8:49MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)43
47
Q3 - 9:06CHABiyombo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)41
47
Q3 - 9:15CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
47
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
47
Q3 - 9:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
47
Q3 - 9:37CHAMISS Henderson 16' Jump Shot41
47
Q3 - 9:51CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)41
47
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot41
47
Q3 - 10:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
47
Q3 - 10:18CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 241
47
Q3 - 10:18CHAHORNETS Rebound41
47
Q3 - 10:18CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 241
47
Q3 - 10:18MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T1)41
47
Q3 - 10:19CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
47
Q3 - 10:21MIABiyombo BLOCK (2 BLK)41
47
Q3 - 10:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
47
Q3 - 10:38CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot41
47
Q3 - 10:53MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
47
Q3 - 10:53MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
47
Q3 - 10:53CHAZeller S.FOUL (P1.T1)39
47
Q3 - 11:09CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)39
47
Q3 - 11:09CHABiyombo Putback Layup (6 PTS)39
47
Q3 - 11:10CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup39
45
Q3 - 11:23MIABiyombo STEAL (1 STL)39
45
Q3 - 11:42MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
45
Q3 - 11:43CHAMISS Zeller 18' Jump Shot39
45
Q3 - 12:0039
45
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA39
45
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound39
45
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Walker 60' 3PT Jump Shot39
45
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
45
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot39
45
Q2 - 0:25.0CHAHenderson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
45
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAAndersen Violation:Kicked Ball39
43
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAChalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)39
43
Q2 - 1:03CHAWalker 29' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)37
43
Q2 - 1:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
40
Q2 - 1:27CHASUB: Zeller FOR Williams36
40
Q2 - 1:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
40
Q2 - 1:27CHAWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)35
40
Q2 - 1:38MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
40
Q2 - 1:39CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
40
Q2 - 1:52MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade35
40
Q2 - 1:52CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Biyombo35
40
Q2 - 1:5235
40
Q2 - 1:52CHAHORNETS Rebound35
40
Q2 - 1:52CHAMISS Walker 3' Jump Shot35
40
Q2 - 2:03MIAGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)35
40
Q2 - 2:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
40
Q2 - 2:19CHAMISS Henderson 3PT Jump Shot32
40
Q2 - 2:34MIACole 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)32
40
Q2 - 3:04CHABiyombo Dunk (4 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)30
40
Q2 - 3:12CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)30
38
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot30
38
Q2 - 3:29CHASUB: Williams FOR Zeller30
38
Q2 - 3:31MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)30
38
Q2 - 3:38CHAWalker 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 2 AST)30
38
Q2 - 3:42CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)30
36
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Andersen 1' Alley Oop Layup30
36
Q2 - 4:00CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
36
Q2 - 4:00CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Neal30
35
Q2 - 4:00MIASUB: Bosh FOR Shaw. Williams30
35
Q2 - 4:00MIASUB: Granger FOR Ennis30
35
Q2 - 4:00CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
35
Q2 - 4:00MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T3)30
34
Q2 - 4:07CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)30
34
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup30
34
Q2 - 4:15MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
34
Q2 - 4:16CHAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot30
34
Q2 - 4:31MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)30
34
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
34
Q2 - 4:38CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
34
Q2 - 4:38CHAMISS Zeller 1' Tip Shot28
34
Q2 - 4:40CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)28
34
Q2 - 4:40CHAMISS Biyombo 1' Layup28
34
Q2 - 4:43CHAMISS Zeller 20' Jump Shot28
34
Q2 - 4:55CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
34
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
34
Q2 - 5:25CHANeal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
34
Q2 - 5:40CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
32
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot28
32
Q2 - 5:49CHABiyombo L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)28
32
Q2 - 5:49MIAHeat Rebound28
32
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot28
32
Q2 - 6:09MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh28
32
Q2 - 6:09CHASUB: Biyombo FOR Jefferson28
32
Q2 - 6:09CHASUB: Henderson FOR Stephenson28
32
Q2 - 6:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)28
32
Q2 - 6:09CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
32
Q2 - 6:28MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
32
Q2 - 6:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
32
Q2 - 6:46CHAMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 6:49CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
32
Q2 - 6:51CHAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 7:14CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
32
Q2 - 7:16MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
32
Q2 - 7:25CHAMISS Jefferson 7' Hook Shot25
32
Q2 - 7:35MIAEnnis P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
32
Q2 - 7:59MIABosh 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
32
Q2 - 8:04MIAHeat Rebound23
32
Q2 - 8:04MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)23
32
Q2 - 8:22CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
32
Q2 - 8:22MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers23
31
Q2 - 8:22CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
31
Q2 - 8:22MIA23
30
Q2 - 8:22MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
30
Q2 - 8:33CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
30
Q2 - 8:35MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
30
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup23
30
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot23
30
Q2 - 8:58CHAJefferson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)23
30
Q2 - 9:07CHASUB: Walker FOR Williams23
28
Q2 - 9:07CHASUB: Zeller FOR Roberts23
28
Q2 - 9:07CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)23
28
Q2 - 9:12MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
28
Q2 - 9:12MIAEnnis 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)23
28
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Ennis 1' Layup21
28
Q2 - 9:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
28
Q2 - 9:34CHAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot21
28
Q2 - 9:52MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
28
Q2 - 10:08CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)19
28
Q2 - 10:18CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
28
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 219
28
Q2 - 10:19MIASUB: Wade FOR Napier19
28
Q2 - 10:19MIAHeat Rebound19
28
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 219
28
Q2 - 10:19CHANeal S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
28
Q2 - 10:34MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
28
Q2 - 10:35CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup19
28
Q2 - 10:52MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)19
28
Q2 - 11:03CHAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)17
28
Q2 - 11:03CHAWilliams OFF.Foul (P1)17
28
Q2 - 11:19MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
28
Q2 - 11:22MIAHeat Rebound17
28
Q2 - 11:22MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)17
28
Q2 - 11:40CHARoberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)17
28
Q2 - 12:0017
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Napier 3' Jump Shot17
25
Q1 - 0:01.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
25
Q1 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Stephenson 4' Jump Shot17
25
Q1 - 0:26.0CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup17
25
Q1 - 0:33.0CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
25
Q1 - 0:35.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup17
25
Q1 - 1:00CHAJefferson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)17
25
Q1 - 1:17CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
23
Q1 - 1:29CHARoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
23
Q1 - 1:29CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
22
Q1 - 1:29MIANapier P.FOUL (P1.PN)17
21
Q1 - 1:33MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
21
Q1 - 1:33MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
21
Q1 - 1:33CHARoberts S.FOUL (P1.PN)15
21
Q1 - 1:35CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
21
Q1 - 1:47MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
21
Q1 - 1:47MIASUB: Ennis FOR Granger14
21
Q1 - 1:47MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
21
Q1 - 1:47CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P1.T3)13
21
Q1 - 2:02CHAJefferson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)13
21
Q1 - 2:21MIAChalmers 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
19
Q1 - 2:36CHAStephenson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)11
19
Q1 - 2:56CHASUB: Neal FOR Kidd-Gilchrist11
17
Q1 - 2:56CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
17
Q1 - 2:56MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
17
Q1 - 3:19CHAStephenson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)11
17
Q1 - 3:25CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)11
15
Q1 - 3:27CHAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot11
15
Q1 - 3:33MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade11
15
Q1 - 3:33MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Bosh11
15
Q1 - 3:33CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Biyombo11
15
Q1 - 3:38CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)11
15
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup11
15
Q1 - 3:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
15
Q1 - 3:43MIARoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)11
15
Q1 - 3:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15
Q1 - 3:54CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Driving Layup11
15
Q1 - 4:08CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
15
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
15
Q1 - 4:17MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15
Q1 - 4:19CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup11
15
Q1 - 4:25CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
15
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
15
Q1 - 4:47CHAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)11
15
Q1 - 4:55CHASUB: Williams FOR Zeller11
13
Q1 - 4:55MIAGranger P.FOUL (P1.PN)11
13
Q1 - 5:10CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
13
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot11
13
Q1 - 5:21CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 5:21CHASUB: Stephenson FOR Henderson11
12
Q1 - 5:21MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T4)11
12
Q1 - 5:21CHAZeller 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)11
12
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)11
10
Q1 - 5:40CHABiyombo S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
10
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 5:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
10
Q1 - 5:54CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
10
Q1 - 5:54CHABiyombo Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 5:56CHAMISS Henderson 3' Driving Layup8
8
Q1 - 6:22CHASUB: Roberts FOR Walker8
8
Q1 - 6:22MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
8
Q1 - 6:22MIABosh Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3)8
8
Q1 - 6:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
8
Q1 - 6:36CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 6:53MIAWade 16' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)8
8
Q1 - 6:56MIASUB: Haslem FOR Andersen6
8
Q1 - 6:56MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers6
8
Q1 - 7:19CHAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)6
8
Q1 - 7:24CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
6
Q1 - 7:27CHAMISS Walker 18' Step Back Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 7:39CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup6
6
Q1 - 7:57CHAHenderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)6
6
Q1 - 8:08MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
3
Q1 - 8:27CHAKidd-Gilchrist Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
3
Q1 - 8:38CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
3
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Granger 7' Running Hook Shot4
3
Q1 - 8:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
3
Q1 - 8:53CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 8:56CHAHORNETS Rebound4
3
Q1 - 8:58CHAMISS Zeller 14' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 9:03CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
3
Q1 - 9:05CHAMISS Zeller 18' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 9:10MIAAndersen P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
3
Q1 - 9:22CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup4
3
Q1 - 9:46CHAHenderson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)4
3
Q1 - 9:49CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
1
Q1 - 9:52CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
1
Q1 - 9:52CHAMISS Biyombo Tip Shot4
1
Q1 - 9:54CHAMISS Henderson 14' Jump Shot4
1
Q1 - 10:09MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
1
Q1 - 10:09MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
1
Q1 - 10:09CHAWalker Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1)2
1
Q1 - 10:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
1
Q1 - 10:11MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)2
1
Q1 - 10:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 10:28CHAHORNETS Rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:28CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 22
0
Q1 - 10:28MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:28CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup2
0
Q1 - 10:35CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:48MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:50CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:13CHAHORNETS Rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:28CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:47MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Biyombo vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 40.9%
CHA
0.81 40.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
35
37%
CHA
15
32
47%
Midrange
MIA
11
31
35%
CHA
8
29
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
CHA
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
13
15
87%
CHA
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1740%8.5 / 21
D. Wade1740%8.5 / 21
M. Chalmers1350%6.5 / 13
J. Ennis III840%4.0 / 10
S. Williams844%4.0 / 9
C. Andersen650%3.0 / 6
D. Granger350%1.5 / 3
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
N. Cole250%1.0 / 2
S. Napier0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker1538%7.5 / 20
B. Biyombo1255%6.0 / 11
A. Jefferson1255%6.0 / 11
G. Henderson1139%5.5 / 14
M. Kidd-Gilchrist836%4.0 / 11
C. Zeller627%3.0 / 11
B. Roberts583%2.5 / 3
L. Stephenson450%2.0 / 4
M. Williams338%1.5 / 4
G. Neal220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+16
-7
92
CHA
67
+26
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 40.9%
CHA
0.81 40.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
100.5
MIA 91.6
CHA 96.3 +4.7
Pace
91.0
92.7
MIA 79.6
CHA 84.6 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 18.1
CHA 17.0 −1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
45.6%
MIA 37.5% +1.2%
CHA 36.3%
TO %
15.2%
11.9%
MIA 7.2% −5.9%
CHA 13.1%
ORB %
23.3%
22.2%
MIA 21.7%
CHA 39.2% +17.5%
FTrt
30.6
26.9
MIA 17.9
CHA 37.5 +19.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
56.8%
MIA 48.3%
CHA 70.4% +22.1%
STL %
8.6%
6.5%
MIA 8.4% +4.7%
CHA 3.7%
BLK %
8.0%
8.9%
MIA 13.1% +1.0%
CHA 12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
48.3%
MIA 40.9% +0.3%
CHA 40.6%
Rim FG%
59.7%
53.5%
MIA 37.1%
CHA 46.9% +9.8%
Mid FG%
40.9%
39.2%
MIA 35.5% +7.9%
CHA 27.6%
3P %
33.5%
31.8%
MIA 27.8% +6.7%
CHA 21.1%
FT %
74.1%
74.8%
MIA 86.7% +20.0%
CHA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
31.3%
MIA 41.7% +1.7%
CHA 40.0%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
46.1%
MIA 36.9%
CHA 36.3% −0.7%
3P Att. %
26.2%
22.6%
MIA 21.4%
CHA 23.8% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8381
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points7678
Rebounds4156
Assists1419
Steals73
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)20 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)36 (4)
Field Goals29-8427-80
At-the-Rim FG13-3515-32
Midrange FG11-318-29
2-Point FG24-6623-61
3-Point FG5-184-19
Free Throws13-1520-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
34.4
17
40%
7
2
0
1
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
6-14
43%
1-6
17%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
33.3
17
40%
7
4
2
0
1
4
1
6
1-1
100%
8-21
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
32.0
13
50%
3
1
0
0
2
5
2
1
4-6
67%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 245 · 37
19.9
6
50%
4
2
0
3
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 32
19.9
3
50%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
28.1
8
40%
7
0
1
1
0
1
3
4
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
26.9
8
44%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
22.3
0
0%
5
4
2
0
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
14.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
8.4
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'9" 220 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
41%
41
14
7
8
7
0
10
31
13-15
87%
24-66
36%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.