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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks51%9798
3076ers49%9691
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
40
30
27
11
4
3
1
0
2
5
6
9-10
90%
6-17
6-13
35%
48%
2-7
29%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
34
27
11
7
4
2
1
1
0
2
5
0-1
0%
4-9
3-6
44%
43%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.9
32
29
8
6
2
1
1
3
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.3
31
25
15
5
7
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.1
24
18
4
6
3
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
24
18
6
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-10
2-4
30%
41%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
20
26
13
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
5-10
3-5
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
16
18
9
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
55%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.3
11
18
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
8
11
0
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.2
10
0
1-3
51%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
7
0
1-2
52%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.7
5
0
0-0
50%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.8
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.1
39
26
17
3
4
1
1
2
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
3-8
38%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
38
30
27
6
7
5
1
0
3
3
3
7-8
88%
10-25
5-10
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.8
32
17
11
12
2
0
1
0
1
5
7
3-4
75%
4-12
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
25
25
12
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-10
2-5
20%
49%
2-3
67%
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
19
12
0
5
0
0
0
3
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
25
22
4
2
1
0
1
8
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Larry Drew II
· 6'2" 180 · 24.9
18
19
4
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
46%
1-3
33%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
18
7
6
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
4-7
57%
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.8
15
20
8
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
2-4
50%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.8
12
12
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.8
29
1
4-8
49%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
17
1
2-4
49%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
9
0
1-3
50%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.9
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.