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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers25%9291
6Hawks75%101110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.8
28.4
25.0
13
60%
4
3
2
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
28.2
28.1
9
46%
11
4
1
1
1
2
4
7
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
26.9
29.7
7
39%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.8
22.5
21.3
12
55%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
43%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 28.1
20.0
22.0
4
41%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
4-9
25%
44%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
27.1
26.4
18
57%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
2-8
25%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.6
19.7
14.4
8
51%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.2
19.2
21.8
2
33%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 34.7
16.8
18.8
10
58%
7
1
1
0
0
3
3
4
6-6
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.0
16.6
21.7
2
35%
3
5
0
0
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-2
0%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.8
7.8
0.7
6
61%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.8
4.0
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.0
2.8
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.8
30.9
31.0
10
83%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.6
29.6
29.2
17
56%
3
11
2
1
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.9
29.6
31.0
12
72%
9
1
0
1
0
4
1
8
3-3
100%
3-4
4-9
75%
51%
1-3
33%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
29.6
30.3
17
74%
2
4
4
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
26.6
31.6
14
62%
7
5
1
1
1
1
3
4
2-3
67%
6-9
7-12
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
19.4
19.1
8
51%
5
0
2
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.5
19.0
17.6
5
32%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
2-5
25%
53%
0-2
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
18.1
14.1
12
76%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.6
16.1
15.2
3
26%
2
0
2
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.3
15.6
15.1
5
63%
3
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
2.8
4.8
4
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
2.8
2.9
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.9
6.7
0
1-1
50%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.9
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.