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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Magic34%99118
18Pistons66%104128
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.7
34
35
23
5
4
1
2
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
8-16
5-11
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
34
31
26
15
1
0
1
1
2
8
7
4-4
100%
11-22
8-15
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.9
30
35
8
4
8
3
2
0
5
3
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-10
44%
44%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
23
33
8
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
20
22
0
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
25
17
19
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
6-13
3-5
46%
50%
1-2
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.2
23
15
14
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.8
14
15
12
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.3
12
8
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
11
7
0
0
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.9
7
8
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
6
14
0
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
7
0
1-2
49%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
36
32
10
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.3
33
28
24
0
21
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-5
60%
9-15
3-8
60%
44%
1-6
17%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.4
30
27
26
17
1
4
1
3
5
4
13
6-8
75%
10-14
6-10
71%
57%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
25
32
24
10
4
0
1
1
2
3
7
2-2
100%
11-16
6-12
69%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.7
22
23
14
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
4-5
80%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
33
17
9
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
24
24
7
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-3
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.2
15
19
5
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
45%
1-2
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
14
12
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
7
3
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.9
15
1
1-2
52%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.8
3
0
0-0
49%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
2
0
0-0
45%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.