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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nets41%98103
19Kings59%102100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
38.5
34.7
16
61%
4
8
2
1
0
4
0
4
5-7
71%
4-6
5-10
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.6
37.2
36.7
16
48%
8
4
1
1
0
0
4
4
3-4
75%
5-11
5-9
45%
48%
1-4
25%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
30.7
25.1
10
43%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-3
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
14.2
16.9
4
67%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
11.1
26.9
6
87%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
3-3
5-8
100%
60%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.8
37.7
25.1
22
61%
6
3
1
0
6
3
2
4
6-7
86%
8-14
6-11
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.3
29.4
25.4
14
69%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
5-5
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.3
20.7
18.8
5
50%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.0
13.2
11.5
7
51%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
5.2
1.4
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.3
2.0
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.2
5.7
0
0-1
49%
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 24.1
4.8
0
1-1
48%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
41.9
32.4
25
60%
8
6
1
1
1
1
1
7
4-4
100%
9-15
6-12
60%
49%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.4
40.9
30.3
28
49%
14
3
2
1
0
2
6
8
8-11
73%
10-24
7-15
42%
50%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.9
36.9
32.8
9
41%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
2-7
29%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
36.9
35.6
16
58%
2
5
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
2-7
29%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
22.3
27.1
4
100%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
21.5
4.9
2
25%
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
18.9
8.2
10
56%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
5-8
1-2
63%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
11.2
25.5
6
56%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.3
6.7
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.7
2.8
14.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
0.0
17.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.2
7.0
0
1-1
44%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.3
6.7
0
1-1
61%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.3
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.