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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 23, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder
93
7Hawks
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.3
41
36
21
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
5-13
6-12
38%
52%
3-9
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
36
34
22
3
11
3
2
0
4
1
2
4-6
67%
6-12
8-16
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
36
29
13
10
1
1
0
2
2
2
8
0-0
-
5-13
4-7
38%
52%
1-3
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
28
24
9
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
15
15
6
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-2
100%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
26
27
8
1
1
3
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.8
25
19
7
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
17
21
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.2
15
17
4
6
1
0
0
2
0
1
5
2-4
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.7
1
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-1
100%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.2
8
0
1-1
53%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.5
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.9
33
30
22
10
3
2
1
2
4
2
8
2-2
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.9
33
31
5
4
2
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
32
30
14
12
3
1
1
3
1
3
9
1-1
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
55%
1-2
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
32
30
13
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
3-5
60%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.6
30
29
17
2
9
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
1-2
50%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
19
15
8
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.4
18
15
13
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.6
16
15
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
16
19
4
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.5
12
18
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
52%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.9
5
0
1-1
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
4
0
1-1
50%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
3
0
0-1
49%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.9
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.