Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Celtics	31%	103	100	104.2	96	92.0
	17	Nuggets	69%	109	99	107.6	92	96.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Bass C · 6'8" 250 · 30	35.5	17	53%	9	5	3	1	0	3	2	7	7-8	88%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 24	30.3	18	82%	6	1	0	0	4	3	0	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-5	80%
Jared Sullinger F · 6'9" 260 · 23	28.6	14	41%	8	2	2	0	3	5	3	5	4-8	50%	5-9	56%	0-4	0%
Evan Turner G · 6'7" 220 · 26	27.5	10	56%	2	6	1	2	1	3	0	2	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	22.0	9	150%	5	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%

Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 25	23.1	11	50%	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28	17.7	7	50%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 35	16.8	4	40%	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 24	15.8	6	50%	1	3	0	0	2	1	0	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 21	14.4	4	67%	0	3	0	0	1	5	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 33	8.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Dawkins #24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kelly Olynyk #41 · F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	55%	41	20	8	6	14	0	8	33	17-27	63%	28-54	52%	9-21	43%

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24 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Bass C · 6'8" 250 · 30	35.5	17	53%	9	5	3	1	0	3	2	7	7-8	88%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 24	30.3	18	82%	6	1	0	0	4	3	0	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-5	80%
Jared Sullinger F · 6'9" 260 · 23	28.6	14	41%	8	2	2	0	3	5	3	5	4-8	50%	5-9	56%	0-4	0%
Evan Turner G · 6'7" 220 · 26	27.5	10	56%	2	6	1	2	1	3	0	2	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	22.0	9	150%	5	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%

Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 25	23.1	11	50%	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28	17.7	7	50%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 35	16.8	4	40%	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 24	15.8	6	50%	1	3	0	0	2	1	0	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 21	14.4	4	67%	0	3	0	0	1	5	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 33	8.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Dawkins #24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kelly Olynyk #41 · F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	55%	41	20	8	6	14	0	8	33	17-27	63%	28-54	52%	9-21	43%

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17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	41.8	23	55%	0	7	1	0	4	2	0	0	1-2	50%	5-13	38%	4-7	57%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	38.5	20	63%	4	4	0	0	1	3	1	3	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	38.0	11	39%	14	3	0	1	1	4	4	10	3-5	60%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	36.1	14	41%	6	2	3	1	0	1	2	4	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	1-5	20%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	14.9	6	43%	8	0	0	0	1	3	4	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-

JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	29.3	15	75%	14	3	2	0	1	1	6	8	3-6	50%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	17.5	4	25%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	12.6	6	60%	2	0	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	11.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	\| NWT - Personal Reasons
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Erick Green #11 · G · 6'4" 185 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	48	20	8	2	12	0	17	31	19-26	73%	31-68	46%	6-21	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.10 54.9%

DEN

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

11

17

65%

DEN

19

38

50%

Midrange

BOS

17

37

46%

DEN

12

30

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

9

13.5

21

43%

64%

DEN

6

9.0

21

29%

43%

Free Throws

BOS

17

27

63%

DEN

19

26

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bradley	18	82%	9.0 / 11
B. Bass	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Sullinger	14	41%	7.0 / 17
T. Zeller	11	50%	5.5 / 11
E. Turner	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Crowder	9	150%	4.5 / 3
M. Thornton	7	50%	3.5 / 7
P. Pressey	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Prince	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Smart	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Nelson	23	55%	11.5 / 21
A. Afflalo	20	63%	10.0 / 16
J. Hickson	15	75%	7.5 / 10
W. Chandler	14	41%	7.0 / 17
K. Faried	11	39%	5.5 / 14
J. Nurkić	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Arthur	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Gallinari	4	25%	2.0 / 8
R. Foye	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 104.8 18 104.8	BOS 104.2 DEN 107.6 +3.4
Pace	5 95.8 4 95.9	BOS 92.0 DEN 96.2 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time	29 14.4 28 14.4	BOS 15.7 DEN 15.0 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 48.9% 25 47.9%	BOS 55.3% +10.4% DEN 44.9%
TO %	7 13.7% 15 14.3%	BOS 14.7% DEN 11.5% −3.2%
ORB %	16 24.7% 10 26.5%	BOS 20.5% DEN 34.0% +13.5%
FTrt	28 23.3 12 27.8	BOS 36.0 +6.8 DEN 29.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 62.9% 17 57.7%	BOS 54.1% DEN 54.1%
STL %	10 8.5% 17 8.0%	BOS 8.3% DEN 8.7% +0.4%
BLK %	30 5.7% 22 7.2%	BOS 8.8% +5.1% DEN 3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 51.1% 24 50.8%	BOS 54.9% +6.8% DEN 48.1%
Rim FG%	17 57.3% 22 56.1%	BOS 64.7% +14.7% DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%	7 40.9% 24 37.9%	BOS 45.9% +5.9% DEN 40.0%
3P %	27 32.7% 28 32.5%	BOS 42.9% +14.3% DEN 28.6%
FT %	14 75.4% 24 73.5%	BOS 63.0% DEN 73.1% +10.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 34.7% 10 38.2%	BOS 22.7% DEN 42.7% +20.0%
Mid Att. %	15 37.3% 6 33.4%	BOS 49.3% DEN 33.7% −15.6%
3P Att. %	13 28.0% 12 28.4%	BOS 28.0% +4.4% DEN 23.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	DEN
Possessions	96	92
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	100	99
Rebounds	41	48
Assists	20	20
Steals	8	8
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	31 (1)
Field Goals	37-75	37-89
At-the-Rim FG	11-17	19-38
Midrange FG	17-37	12-30
2-Point FG	28-54	31-68
3-Point FG	9-21	6-21
Free Throws	17-27	19-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg