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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 24, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers
83
9Grizzlies
101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.0
29
26
6
5
1
2
1
1
4
2
3
1-4
25%
1-6
2-6
17%
43%
1-3
33%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
26
33
10
3
6
0
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
1-7
5-12
14%
42%
2-5
40%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
24
22
7
7
0
0
1
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.8
24
25
7
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.1
22
32
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
26
22
16
2
1
0
1
0
5
0
2
4-8
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Larry Drew II
· 6'2" 180 · 24.9
20
16
9
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
38%
0-1
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.8
20
16
5
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
46%
1-2
50%
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
20
10
4
11
3
3
0
0
1
5
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.8
17
9
9
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.8
8
21
2
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
5
7
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.9
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 34.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
28
27
18
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
2-2
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
27
35
17
14
4
0
1
0
3
2
12
0-0
-
7-10
7-14
70%
50%
1-1
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.0
25
35
9
7
4
2
1
4
2
0
7
3-5
60%
3-5
7-14
60%
52%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
23
30
8
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
0-3
3-5
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
21
29
9
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
27
19
6
4
5
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
54%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.0
24
9
13
6
3
2
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
5-9
1-1
56%
45%
1-5
20%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
23
14
7
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
5-6
83%
1-4
2-4
25%
56%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.0
19
23
4
0
2
0
2
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.7
17
5
6
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.0
7
14
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.4
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.