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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 25, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat38%9596
12Bulls62%9984
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
40
30
15
4
5
2
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.0
39
30
26
3
3
0
1
0
5
1
2
6-6
100%
10-18
7-14
56%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.8
38
32
15
10
4
0
1
1
1
3
7
5-7
71%
5-13
4-8
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.8
36
34
20
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
9-16
6-12
56%
52%
0-4
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
21
23
4
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
59%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
27
21
0
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.6
25
10
14
13
0
0
0
12
0
6
7
2-4
50%
6-10
2-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
11
17
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
3
14
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.8
17
0
1-3
43%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
14
0
1-2
45%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
10
0
1-1
45%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
3
0
0-0
48%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.4
43
35
5
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.6
36
33
13
17
3
0
0
4
2
6
11
1-1
100%
6-15
6-12
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
33
32
19
2
4
1
1
1
4
0
2
5-6
83%
7-11
6-11
64%
49%
0-6
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.2
22
26
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
22
23
4
5
2
0
1
2
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
26
34
11
8
2
0
1
2
1
5
3
5-8
63%
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.1
24
24
2
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.0
21
18
17
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
4-5
80%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.0
12
11
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
2-4
50%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.9
6
0
1-1
46%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.4
4
0
0-1
46%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.1
3
0
0-0
54%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
1
0
0-0
52%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.