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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 6, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Trail Blazers56%10596
21Nets44%103106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
38.8
31.2
36
67%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
8-15
4-9
53%
50%
6-11
55%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.1
37.1
12.4
17
65%
15
4
2
0
0
3
2
13
0-0
-
7-10
1-2
70%
54%
1-3
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.5
36.7
29.7
10
45%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
2-5
40%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
34.4
22.8
15
56%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
2-3
67%
5-10
3-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.0
32.5
24.9
8
36%
7
2
0
0
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.1
18.7
14.8
0
0%
2
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.0
15.4
5.9
6
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 28.2
14.2
7.7
2
25%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.9
11.6
4.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.4
0.7
3.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.7
32.2
1
8-16
49%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.3
30.5
1
2-4
53%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.9
17.6
0
3-6
51%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.5
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
41.6
26.8
20
58%
5
2
1
1
1
0
3
2
2-3
67%
9-16
4-9
56%
49%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
36.7
29.6
24
61%
6
10
0
1
0
0
2
4
4-4
100%
4-13
3-7
31%
45%
4-5
80%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.8
35.2
29.3
6
24%
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
6
4-6
67%
1-7
3-6
14%
48%
0-3
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.0
32.4
33.2
32
60%
9
1
1
1
1
0
4
5
2-4
50%
15-25
8-15
60%
52%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
26.1
25.3
2
20%
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.0
30.6
21.8
15
54%
5
1
1
0
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
52%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.1
15.6
12.8
4
69%
6
1
2
0
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
11.3
16.3
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.2
6.1
11.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
4.4
4.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.5
17.0
0
1-3
49%
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 24.3
7.3
0
1-2
48%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.5
4.7
0
1-1
51%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.4
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.