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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 26, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nuggets21%10398
3Clippers79%114102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
36.8
35.4
18
69%
3
6
3
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
34.6
33.7
18
48%
10
2
1
1
0
1
3
7
1-2
50%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
3-8
38%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.2
34.6
29.4
19
65%
3
11
0
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
7-12
4-8
58%
47%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
30.2
33.0
14
68%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
6-9
6-11
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.4
28.8
17.8
6
44%
10
1
1
1
3
2
0
10
0-2
0%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
19.1
19.6
8
51%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
18.4
17.7
8
57%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
2-5
40%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.4
17.3
21.4
2
33%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.0
13.3
21.7
2
20%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.3
6.9
10.4
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.7
0.1
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.7
3.2
0
0-1
44%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.5
34.8
30.5
7
64%
12
0
3
1
4
1
4
8
1-1
100%
3-5
4-6
60%
69%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
34.8
32.6
15
68%
5
8
1
2
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
52%
1-3
33%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 25.9
34.3
33.4
14
37%
9
10
1
1
1
2
2
7
2-4
50%
6-17
8-16
35%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 34.9
33.7
27.8
18
76%
3
2
2
1
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
57%
2-4
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 30.6
18.9
27.6
6
28%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.9
30.3
22.5
23
64%
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
8-9
89%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
3-7
43%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 26.7
16.5
15.5
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
13.2
16.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.9
13.2
9.4
3
50%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-3
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 29.1
10.3
10.9
8
106%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.1
4.3
0
0-1
48%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 34.1
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 27.7
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.