Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Nuggets	21%	103	98	108.9	90	92.2
	3	Clippers	79%	114	102	112.1	91	88.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	36.8	18	69%	3	6	3	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	34.6	18	47%	10	2	1	0	1	3	3	7	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	3-8	38%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	34.6	19	63%	3	11	0	0	3	1	0	3	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	30.2	14	70%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	28.8	6	43%	10	1	1	3	2	4	0	10	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	19.1	8	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	18.4	8	57%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	17.3	2	33%	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	13.3	2	20%	1	2	2	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	6.9	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	53%	38	26	7	4	10	0	8	30	10-15	67%	32-62	52%	8-21	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	36.8	18	69%	3	6	3	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	34.6	18	47%	10	2	1	0	1	3	3	7	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	3-8	38%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	34.6	19	63%	3	11	0	0	3	1	0	3	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	30.2	14	70%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	28.8	6	43%	10	1	1	3	2	4	0	10	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	19.1	8	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	18.4	8	57%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	17.3	2	33%	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	13.3	2	20%	1	2	2	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	6.9	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	53%	38	26	7	4	10	0	8	30	10-15	67%	32-62	52%	8-21	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeAndre Jordan C · 6'11" 265 · 27	34.8	7	70%	12	0	3	4	1	3	4	8	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 30	34.8	15	68%	5	8	1	0	3	1	0	5	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
Blake Griffin F · 6'10" 251 · 26	34.3	14	39%	9	10	1	1	2	1	2	7	2-4	50%	6-17	35%	0-0	-
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 35	33.7	18	75%	3	2	2	2	1	5	1	2	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
JJ Redick G · 6'4" 200 · 31	18.9	6	27%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-2	0%

Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 35	30.3	23	64%	4	3	2	0	2	2	1	3	8-9	89%	3-7	43%	3-7	43%
Spencer Hawes F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27	16.5	4	67%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Austin Rivers G · 6'4" 200 · 22	13.2	4	50%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 36	13.2	3	50%	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 29	10.3	8	100%	5	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Wilcox G · 6'5" 195 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	57%	45	25	10	8	13	0	10	35	19-22	86%	31-61	51%	7-19	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.05 52.7%

LAC

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

15

29

52%

LAC

23

33

70%

Midrange

DEN

17

33

52%

LAC

8

28

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

21

38%

57%

LAC

7

10.5

19

37%

55%

Free Throws

DEN

10

15

67%

LAC

19

22

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	19	63%	9.5 / 15
A. Afflalo	18	69%	9.0 / 13
W. Chandler	18	47%	9.0 / 19
K. Faried	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Arthur	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Gallinari	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Nurkić	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. Foye	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Hickson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Nelson	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Crawford	23	64%	11.5 / 18
M. Barnes	18	75%	9.0 / 12
C. Paul	15	68%	7.5 / 11
B. Griffin	14	39%	7.0 / 18
G. Davis	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Jordan	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Redick	6	27%	3.0 / 11
S. Hawes	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Rivers	4	50%	2.0 / 4
H. Turkoglu	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 1 112.6	DEN 108.9 LAC 112.1 +3.2
Pace	4 95.9 10 94.6	DEN 92.2 +3.4 LAC 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 19 15.1	DEN 15.6 −0.6 LAC 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 2 53.3%	DEN 53.0% +1.1% LAC 51.9%
TO %	15 14.3% 2 12.4%	DEN 10.0% −2.7% LAC 12.7%
ORB %	10 26.5% 28 22.9%	DEN 18.6% LAC 25.0% +6.4%
FTrt	12 27.8 6 30.3	DEN 18.1 LAC 27.5 +9.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 4 62.9%	DEN 65.0% LAC 65.8% +0.8%
STL %	17 8.0% 15 8.2%	DEN 7.8% LAC 11.0% +3.2%
BLK %	22 7.2% 9 8.5%	DEN 6.6% LAC 12.9% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.8% 2 55.1%	DEN 52.7% LAC 56.7% +4.0%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 1 62.2%	DEN 51.7% LAC 69.7% +18.0%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 1 43.9%	DEN 51.5% +22.9% LAC 28.6%
3P %	28 32.5% 3 37.6%	DEN 38.1% +1.3% LAC 36.8%
FT %	24 73.5% 28 71.0%	DEN 66.7% LAC 86.4% +19.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 30 29.5%	DEN 34.9% LAC 41.3% +6.3%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 21 38.3%	DEN 39.8% LAC 35.0% −4.8%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 3 32.2%	DEN 25.3% +1.6% LAC 23.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAC
Possessions	90	91
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	98	102
Rebounds	38	45
Assists	26	25
Steals	7	10
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	35 (0)
Field Goals	40-83	38-80
At-the-Rim FG	15-29	23-33
Midrange FG	17-33	8-28
2-Point FG	32-62	31-61
3-Point FG	8-21	7-19
Free Throws	10-15	19-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg