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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 27, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
103
18Pistons
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.8
42
36
38
3
6
3
2
1
3
1
2
6-6
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
49%
6-10
60%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.1
36
34
32
6
7
1
1
0
4
0
6
10-11
91%
11-20
7-13
55%
57%
0-4
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.4
32
31
7
8
4
0
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
49%
1-8
13%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
32
31
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
1-6
17%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.5
20
27
6
7
1
2
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.9
27
27
4
12
0
1
0
0
1
6
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.7
19
13
8
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.6
18
11
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-5
20%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.4
13
15
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.9
6
0
0-0
46%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.2
6
0
1-1
47%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.3
4
0
0-0
35%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.4
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.2
36
23
19
4
9
2
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-6
56%
44%
3-6
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.5
35
25
12
17
0
0
1
6
0
7
10
0-4
0%
6-17
5-9
35%
56%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
32
31
17
12
0
0
1
0
3
5
7
3-3
100%
7-15
6-12
47%
51%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
29
33
11
2
2
0
1
1
3
0
2
4-5
80%
2-2
3-6
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.7
24
23
5
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
30
23
16
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
5-5
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
3-4
75%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
27
22
11
1
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
5-6
83%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
16
12
2
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.8
12
7
2
3
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.9
10
0
1-2
51%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
5
0
0-1
50%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
4
0
0-0
44%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.2
3
0
0-1
49%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.