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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 27, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies
109
7Mavericks
90
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
34
32
22
10
2
0
1
0
5
2
8
2-4
50%
10-15
6-12
67%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
31
29
13
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
3-4
75%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
31
26
8
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
2-3
67%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.0
28
32
15
4
6
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
48%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
21
24
8
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-1
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.0
27
13
13
5
2
2
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.0
27
18
12
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
1-7
14%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
21
16
9
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.6
10
2
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.7
9
13
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
24
1
3-7
47%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.0
21
1
3-5
48%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.3
33
34
19
1
1
2
2
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
7-12
6-13
58%
49%
1-4
25%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.3
32
31
19
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
3-5
60%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.3
32
32
10
5
1
0
1
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
62%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.6
29
30
11
5
4
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.9
28
28
7
7
5
2
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.9
16
19
6
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.6
15
13
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
14
17
0
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.6
13
15
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-2
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.4
12
11
4
3
1
2
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.4
6
3
0
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.6
5
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
5
4
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
59%
0-0
-
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.