Final Win Prob. pScore
1035%99
109
665%104
90
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo Grizzlies
121.19083.6
DAL logo Mavericks
97.89299.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM109
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0DALFelton 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MEMCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALMISS Aminu 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00DALMISS Felton 23' Jump Shot106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13DALSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14MEMMISS Adams 18' Jump Shot106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25MEMSUB: Thomas FOR Koufos106
88
Q4 - 1:25MEMSUB: Adams FOR Lee106
88
Q4 - 1:25MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)106
88
Q4 - 1:30MEMLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32DALMISS Barea 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37DALSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MEMMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59DALSmith 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12MEMMISS Green 2' Driving Layup106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27DALMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27DALSUB: Villanueva FOR Powell106
86
Q4 - 2:27DALMAVERICKS Rebound106
86
Q4 - 2:27DALMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27MEMCarter S.FOUL (P2.T4)106
86
Q4 - 2:36MEMKoufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:36MEMGrizzlies Rebound105
86
Q4 - 2:36MEMMISS Koufos Free Throw 1 of 2105
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:36MEMSUB: Lee FOR Gasol105
86
Q4 - 2:36DALSUB: Powell FOR Jefferson105
86
Q4 - 2:36105
86
Q4 - 2:36DALFelton S.FOUL (P1.PN)105
86
Q4 - 2:48DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)105
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00MEMKoufos 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15MEMCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16DALMISS Aminu 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34MEMKoufos 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)103
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 3:53MEMCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 3:57DALMISS Barea 3' Driving Bank Shot101
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 4:07MEMCalathes Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)101
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 4:07MEMGrizzlies Rebound100
84
Q4 - 4:07MEMMISS Calathes Free Throw 1 of 2100
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 4:07DALAminu Personal Block Foul (P1.PN)100
84
Q4 - 4:17DALFelton 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)100
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 4:23DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)100
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 4:25MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 4:25MEMMISS Koufos 3' Tip Shot100
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 4:28MEMMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 4:54DALBarea 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04DALSUB: Smith FOR Chandler100
79
Q4 - 5:04MEMCalathes P.FOUL (P4.T3)100
79
Q4 - 5:18MEMCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)100
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 5:18DALSUB: Aminu FOR Rondo99
79
Q4 - 5:18DALSUB: Felton FOR Harris99
79
Q4 - 5:18DALSUB: Barea FOR Ellis99
79
Q4 - 5:18MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Randolph99
79
Q4 - 5:18DALSUB: Jefferson FOR Parsons99
79
Q4 - 5:18MEMCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)99
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 5:18DALHarris S.FOUL (P4.T4)98
79
Q4 - 5:31MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 5:32DALMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot98
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 5:54DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 5:54MEMMISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot98
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 6:16MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)98
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 6:18DALMISS Parsons 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 6:28DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)98
79
Q4 - 6:31MEMRandolph 17' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)98
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 6:44DALSUB: Harris FOR Nowitzki96
79
Q4 - 6:44DALChandler P.FOUL (P5.T3)96
79
Q4 - 6:59MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 7:00DALMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot96
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 7:08DALRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 7:10MEMMISS Calathes 17' Jump Shot96
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 7:34DALEllis 20' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)96
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 7:42DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.0%
77
1.0%
Q4 - 7:44MEMMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 8:01MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)96
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 8:02DALMISS Rondo 3PT Jump Shot96
98.8%
77
1.2%
Q4 - 8:13MEMSUB: Green FOR Lee96
77
Q4 - 8:13MEMLee Personal Block Foul (P3.T2)96
77
Q4 - 8:28MEMRandolph 17' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)96
98.6%
77
1.4%
Q4 - 8:49MEMLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 8:50DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
98.1%
77
1.9%
Q4 - 9:08MEMCarter P.FOUL (P1.T1)94
77
Q4 - 9:16MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
96.9%
77
3.1%
Q4 - 9:16DALSUB: Parsons FOR Barea93
77
Q4 - 9:16DALSUB: Ellis FOR Jefferson93
77
Q4 - 9:16DALSUB: Rondo FOR Harris93
77
Q4 - 9:16MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
96.7%
77
3.3%
Q4 - 9:16DALChandler S.FOUL (P4.T2)92
77
Q4 - 9:25DALHarris P.FOUL (P3.T1)92
77
Q4 - 9:41MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
96.2%
77
3.8%
Q4 - 9:43DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Layup92
95.9%
77
4.1%
Q4 - 9:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
95.2%
77
4.8%
Q4 - 9:46DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
95.9%
77
4.1%
Q4 - 10:02DALSUB: Chandler FOR Aminu92
77
Q4 - 10:02DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)92
77
Q4 - 10:10MEMCalathes 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)92
94.0%
77
6.0%
Q4 - 10:21MEMCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
92.7%
77
7.3%
Q4 - 10:22DALMISS Harris 24' Jump Shot90
92.2%
77
7.8%
Q4 - 10:35MEMRandolph 18' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)90
91.0%
77
9.0%
Q4 - 10:58DALAminu Dunk (4 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)88
89.1%
77
10.9%
Q4 - 11:19MEMLee 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Koufos 1 AST)88
89.6%
75
10.4%
Q4 - 11:20MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)86
87.6%
75
12.4%
Q4 - 11:22MEMMISS Calathes 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
85.8%
75
14.2%
Q4 - 11:48DALJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)86
87.7%
75
12.3%
Q4 - 12:0086
72
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL86
91.5%
72
8.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound86
91.5%
72
8.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 34' 3PT Jump Shot86
92.7%
72
7.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMLee 17' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
90.3%
72
9.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)84
88.3%
72
11.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0MEMRandolph 7' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)84
86.1%
72
13.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALAminu Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS)82
83.5%
72
16.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0MEMAminu STEAL (2 STL)82
86.2%
70
13.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
88.5%
70
11.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0DALSUB: Jefferson FOR Parsons82
69
Q3 - 0:51.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound82
69
Q3 - 0:51.0DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 282
88.7%
69
11.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0MEMKoufos P.FOUL (P2.PN)82
69
Q3 - 1:01MEMKoufos 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)82
86.9%
69
13.1%
Q3 - 1:15DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Chandler80
69
Q3 - 1:15MEMSUB: Koufos FOR Gasol80
69
Q3 - 1:15MEMSUB: Carter FOR Green80
69
Q3 - 1:15MEMGrizzlies Rebound80
84.6%
69
15.4%
Q3 - 1:15MEMAminu BLOCK (1 BLK)80
82.7%
69
17.3%
Q3 - 1:21MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
84.7%
69
15.3%
Q3 - 1:22DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot80
83.9%
69
16.1%
Q3 - 1:42MEMRandolph 20' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)80
81.9%
69
18.1%
Q3 - 2:11DALEllis 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)78
76.8%
69
23.2%
Q3 - 2:15MEMAminu STEAL (1 STL)78
79.7%
67
20.3%
Q3 - 2:26MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
82.7%
67
17.3%
Q3 - 2:29DALMISS Aminu 3PT Jump Shot78
81.9%
67
18.1%
Q3 - 2:48DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
79.9%
67
20.1%
Q3 - 2:50MEMMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot78
80.8%
67
19.2%
Q3 - 3:12MEMSUB: Calathes FOR Udrih78
67
Q3 - 3:12MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)78
67
Q3 - 3:14DALEllis 18' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
81.3%
67
18.7%
Q3 - 3:21DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
83.7%
65
16.3%
Q3 - 3:24MEMMISS Udrih 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup78
84.5%
65
15.5%
Q3 - 3:48DALParsons 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)78
86.2%
65
13.8%
Q3 - 3:59MEMRandolph 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
89.8%
62
10.2%
Q3 - 4:16DALParsons Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
87.0%
62
13.0%
Q3 - 4:16DALSUB: Aminu FOR Powell76
61
Q3 - 4:16DALParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
87.5%
61
12.5%
Q3 - 4:16MEMGreen Shooting Block Foul (P1.T4)76
60
Q3 - 4:31MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)76
88.5%
60
11.5%
Q3 - 4:31DALPowell S.FOUL (P4.T1)75
60
Q3 - 4:31MEMGasol 10' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)75
60
Q3 - 4:50DALParsons 1' Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)73
85.1%
60
14.9%
Q3 - 5:04DALSUB: Harris FOR Rondo73
58
Q3 - 5:04DALSUB: Powell FOR Nowitzki73
58
Q3 - 5:04DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)73
58
Q3 - 5:06MEMGasol 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
85.4%
58
14.6%
Q3 - 5:24MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
83.6%
58
16.4%
Q3 - 5:25DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
82.8%
58
17.2%
Q3 - 5:41MEMLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)71
80.9%
58
19.1%
Q3 - 5:58MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
75.8%
58
24.2%
Q3 - 6:00DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
74.7%
58
25.3%
Q3 - 6:07MEMEllis STEAL (2 STL)68
70.5%
58
29.5%
Q3 - 6:22DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST)68
74.2%
58
25.8%
Q3 - 6:32MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P4.T10)68
76.8%
56
23.2%
Q3 - 6:32MEMRandolph OFF.Foul (P3)68
56
Q3 - 6:57DALChandler Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)68
79.9%
56
20.1%
Q3 - 7:03DALRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
80.6%
54
19.4%
Q3 - 7:04DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot68
82.4%
54
17.6%
Q3 - 7:19DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)68
54
Q3 - 7:21MEMLee 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)68
80.6%
54
19.4%
Q3 - 7:30MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
75.8%
54
24.2%
Q3 - 7:31DALMISS Parsons 21' Jump Shot65
74.8%
54
25.2%
Q3 - 7:57MEMGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)65
72.5%
54
27.5%
Q3 - 8:10DALRondo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)62
65.4%
54
34.6%
Q3 - 8:16MEMRandolph P.FOUL (P2.T3)62
51
Q3 - 8:30MEMUdrih 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Green 1 AST)62
71.3%
51
28.7%
Q3 - 8:51MEMUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
68.8%
51
31.2%
Q3 - 8:53DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
67.6%
51
32.4%
Q3 - 8:58MEMLee Personal Block Foul (P2.T2)60
51
Q3 - 9:08MEMRandolph 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)60
63.7%
51
36.3%
Q3 - 9:32DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
60.5%
51
39.5%
Q3 - 9:32DALChandler Putback Dunk (8 PTS)58
60.5%
51
39.5%
Q3 - 9:33DALMISS Parsons Running Layup58
66.1%
49
33.9%
Q3 - 9:40DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 9:41MEMMISS Lee 20' Jump Shot58
64.8%
49
35.2%
Q3 - 9:59DALEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)58
67.2%
49
32.8%
Q3 - 10:04MEMRondo STEAL (2 STL)58
71.9%
46
28.1%
Q3 - 10:05MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
74.7%
46
25.3%
Q3 - 10:08MEMMISS Randolph 11' Running Bank Shot58
72.8%
46
27.2%
Q3 - 10:13MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
74.8%
46
25.2%
Q3 - 10:15DALMISS Rondo 8' Running Bank Shot58
73.9%
46
26.1%
Q3 - 10:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
72.0%
46
28.0%
Q3 - 10:30MEMMISS Randolph 5' Running Hook Shot58
72.9%
46
27.1%
Q3 - 10:42DALNowitzki 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
74.8%
46
25.2%
Q3 - 10:55MEMLee Personal Block Foul (P1.T1)58
44
Q3 - 11:07MEMUdrih 2' Running Layup (6 PTS)58
75.8%
44
24.2%
Q3 - 11:20DALChandler Foul Turnover (P3.T15)56
73.4%
44
26.6%
Q3 - 11:20DALChandler OFF.Foul (P3)56
44
Q3 - 11:40MEMGasol 2' Putback Layup (10 PTS)56
70.6%
44
29.4%
Q3 - 11:42MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
67.8%
44
32.2%
Q3 - 11:43MEMMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
65.6%
44
34.4%
Q3 - 12:0054
44
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL54
67.8%
44
32.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound54
64.6%
44
35.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot54
66.9%
44
33.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
63.7%
44
36.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0MEMMISS Carter 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
64.4%
44
35.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0DALChandler Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)54
65.9%
44
34.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0MEMUdrih 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
69.6%
42
30.4%
Q2 - 1:01MEMCarter Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)52
64.8%
42
35.2%
Q2 - 1:01DALEllis T.FOUL (P1.T3)51
42
Q2 - 1:01DALEllis Foul Turnover (P2.T14)51
61.9%
42
38.1%
Q2 - 1:01DALEllis OFF.Foul (P1)51
42
Q2 - 1:09MEMSUB: Green FOR Adams51
42
Q2 - 1:09DALMAVERICKS Rebound51
60.2%
42
39.8%
Q2 - 1:09MEMMISS Carter 3' Layup51
60.7%
42
39.3%
Q2 - 1:19MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
61.9%
42
38.1%
Q2 - 1:20DALMISS Ellis 4' Driving Jump Shot51
61.4%
42
38.6%
Q2 - 1:39MEMRandolph 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)51
60.2%
42
39.8%
Q2 - 2:02DALEllis 2' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)49
55.4%
42
44.6%
Q2 - 2:12MEMCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
58.5%
40
41.5%
Q2 - 2:12DALSUB: Chandler FOR Powell48
40
Q2 - 2:12MEMCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
58.0%
40
42.0%
Q2 - 2:12DALPowell Shooting Block Foul (P3.T3)47
40
Q2 - 2:23DALEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)47
55.4%
40
44.6%
Q2 - 2:37MEMGasol 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)47
58.6%
38
41.4%
Q2 - 2:56DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q2 - 2:56DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
56.0%
37
44.0%
Q2 - 2:56MEMSUB: Randolph FOR Leuer45
36
Q2 - 2:56MEMSUB: Udrih FOR Calathes45
36
Q2 - 2:56MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
36
Q2 - 2:56MEMCalathes Shooting Block Foul (P3.PN)45
36
Q2 - 3:05MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Koufos45
36
Q2 - 3:05DALSUB: Parsons FOR Jefferson45
36
Q2 - 3:05MEMCalathes P.FOUL (P2.T4)45
36
Q2 - 3:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
57.1%
36
42.9%
Q2 - 3:08DALMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot45
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 3:41MEMCarter 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 3:46DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)43
54.7%
36
45.3%
Q2 - 3:53DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
51.3%
36
48.7%
Q2 - 3:56MEMMISS Calathes 4' Jump Bank Shot43
52.3%
36
47.7%
Q2 - 4:12DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Villanueva43
36
Q2 - 4:12DALSUB: Powell FOR Chandler43
36
Q2 - 4:12DALVillanueva Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)43
53.3%
36
46.7%
Q2 - 4:33MEMCarter 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
50.3%
36
49.7%
Q2 - 4:42MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
47.6%
36
52.4%
Q2 - 4:44DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot41
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 4:53MEMAdams P.FOUL (P2.T3)41
36
Q2 - 5:01DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
44.3%
36
55.7%
Q2 - 5:02DALMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 5:12DALSUB: Rondo FOR Barea41
36
Q2 - 5:1241
36
Q2 - 5:12DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)41
36
Q2 - 5:14MEMAdams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calathes 2 AST)41
44.3%
36
55.7%
Q2 - 5:22DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)38
38.8%
36
61.2%
Q2 - 5:41MEMAdams 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)38
36.2%
36
63.8%
Q2 - 5:59DALEllis 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
33.6%
36
66.4%
Q2 - 6:14DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
35.8%
34
64.2%
Q2 - 6:17MEMMISS Koufos 7' Jump Hook Shot36
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 6:27DALVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)36
38.9%
34
61.1%
Q2 - 6:27DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
35.8%
34
64.2%
Q2 - 6:28MEMVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)36
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 6:33MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
38.9%
34
61.1%
Q2 - 6:36DALMISS Barea 5' Fadeaway Bank Shot36
37.9%
34
62.1%
Q2 - 6:43MEMKoufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
35.8%
34
64.2%
Q2 - 6:43DALSUB: Jefferson FOR Parsons35
34
Q2 - 6:43DALSUB: Ellis FOR Harris35
34
Q2 - 6:43MEMKoufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
35.1%
34
64.9%
Q2 - 6:43DALHarris Shooting Block Foul (P2.T2)34
34
Q2 - 6:53DALChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T9)34
33.8%
34
66.2%
Q2 - 6:53DALChandler OFF.Foul (P2)34
34
Q2 - 7:06MEMKoufos Foul Turnover (P1.T8)34
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q2 - 7:06MEMKoufos OFF.Foul (P1)34
34
Q2 - 7:17DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 7:17DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 7:17MEMAdams S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
32
Q2 - 7:29DALSUB: Harris FOR Powell34
32
Q2 - 7:29DALSUB: Chandler FOR Rondo34
32
Q2 - 7:29DALSUB: Villanueva FOR Nowitzki34
32
Q2 - 7:29DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
32
Q2 - 7:30MEMCalathes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 7:49DALNowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)31
31.2%
32
68.8%
Q2 - 8:08MEMCalathes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
33.0%
30
67.0%
Q2 - 8:22DALNowitzki 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)28
28.7%
30
71.3%
Q2 - 8:39DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q2 - 8:41MEMMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
31.5%
28
68.5%
Q2 - 8:46MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q2 - 8:48MEMMISS Leuer 18' Jump Shot28
31.5%
28
68.5%
Q2 - 9:02DALParsons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)28
32.8%
28
67.2%
Q2 - 9:14MEMCalathes P.FOUL (P1.T1)28
28
Q2 - 9:21MEMPowell STEAL (1 STL)28
30.4%
28
69.6%
Q2 - 9:23MEMAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
32.8%
28
67.2%
Q2 - 9:24DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
32.1%
28
67.9%
Q2 - 9:33DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
30.4%
28
69.6%
Q2 - 9:36MEMMISS Koufos 8' Jump Hook Shot28
31.1%
28
68.9%
Q2 - 9:53DALParsons 1' Running Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)28
32.9%
28
67.1%
Q2 - 10:05DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 10:07MEMMISS Leuer Free Throw 2 of 228
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 10:07MEMSUB: Adams FOR Lee28
26
Q2 - 10:07MEMLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
36.4%
26
63.6%
Q2 - 10:07DALRondo S.FOUL (P2.T1)27
26
Q2 - 10:07MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
35.2%
26
64.8%
Q2 - 10:08MEMMISS Koufos 16' Jump Shot27
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q2 - 10:22DALNowitzki 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
35.2%
26
64.8%
Q2 - 10:29DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 10:31MEMMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
37.9%
24
62.1%
Q2 - 10:51MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q2 - 10:52DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot27
39.0%
24
61.0%
Q2 - 11:10MEMLeuer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 11:32DALRondo Foul Turnover (P2.T7)27
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q2 - 11:32DALRondo OFF.Foul (P1)27
24
Q2 - 11:45MEMLeuer 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calathes 1 AST)27
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 12:0024
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL24
32.7%
24
67.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MEMCalathes 2' Layup (4 PTS)24
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)22
28.2%
24
71.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0MEMCalathes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0MEMCalathes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0DALPowell S.FOUL (P2.PN)20
24
Q1 - 0:21.0DALPowell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)20
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
23.3%
24
76.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 220
23.4%
24
76.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMSUB: Leuer FOR Gasol20
24
Q1 - 0:22.0DALSUB: Parsons FOR Jefferson20
24
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound20
24
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 220
24.6%
24
75.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0DALHarris S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
24
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0MEMMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0DALMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23.3%
24
76.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0MEMMISS Calathes 14' Jump Shot20
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALRondo Putback Dunk (4 PTS)20
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALMISS Harris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup20
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 1:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
26.8%
22
73.2%
Q1 - 1:07MEMMISS Carter 29' 3PT Jump Shot20
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 1:22MEMSUB: Carter FOR Green20
22
Q1 - 1:22DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Chandler20
22
Q1 - 1:22DALSUB: Rondo FOR Ellis20
22
Q1 - 1:22DALJefferson P.FOUL (P1.T4)20
22
Q1 - 1:32MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 1:33DALMISS Harris 46' 3PT Jump Shot20
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 1:55DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
26.8%
22
73.2%
Q1 - 1:58MEMMISS Green 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup20
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 2:05MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q1 - 2:06DALMISS Powell 16' Jump Shot20
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 2:16DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q1 - 2:17MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot20
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 2:40MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q1 - 2:41DALMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot20
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 2:49MEMRandolph L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)20
22
Q1 - 2:49DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q1 - 2:49DALMISS Ellis 18' Pullup Jump Shot20
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 3:03MEMSUB: Calathes FOR Udrih20
22
Q1 - 3:03DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
22
Q1 - 3:07MEMGasol Dunk (6 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)20
26.5%
22
73.5%
Q1 - 3:18DALHarris 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q1 - 3:25MEMRandolph Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)18
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 3:32DALPowell P.FOUL (P1.T3)18
20
Q1 - 3:51DALSUB: Jefferson FOR Parsons18
20
Q1 - 3:51DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
28.5%
20
71.5%
Q1 - 3:55DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 3:58MEMMISS Green 7' Hook Shot18
27.1%
20
72.9%
Q1 - 4:01MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 4:02MEMMISS Randolph 10' Fadeaway Jumper18
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 4:24DALHarris 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)18
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q1 - 4:28MEMHarris STEAL (1 STL)18
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 4:42DALHarris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 4:53MEMRandolph 1' Layup (4 PTS)18
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 4:54MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
32.3%
16
67.7%
Q1 - 4:57MEMMISS Gasol 5' Running Jump Shot16
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 5:13DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 5:36MEMUdrih 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)16
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 5:49DALParsons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 6:03MEMGasol 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)14
27.5%
16
72.5%
Q1 - 6:12DALSUB: Powell FOR Nowitzki12
16
Q1 - 6:12DALSUB: Harris FOR Rondo12
16
Q1 - 6:12MEMGrizzlies Rebound12
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 6:12MEMNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)12
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 6:18MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 6:20DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Step Back Jump Shot12
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 6:38MEMGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)12
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 6:59DALRondo 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)9
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 7:13MEMRandolph 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)9
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 7:19DALChandler Personal Block Foul (P1.T2)7
14
Q1 - 7:30DALParsons Personal Block Foul (P1.T1)7
14
Q1 - 7:44DALParsons 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)7
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 7:56DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 7:58MEMMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
26.7%
11
73.3%
Q1 - 8:06MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
27.6%
11
72.4%
Q1 - 8:07DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot7
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 8:24MEMGreen 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
26.8%
11
73.2%
Q1 - 8:33MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)5
11
Q1 - 8:41DALChandler 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)5
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 8:55MEMRondo STEAL (1 STL)5
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 9:11DALParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)5
28.7%
9
71.3%
Q1 - 9:24MEMLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)5
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 9:44DALEllis 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 9:49MEMEllis STEAL (1 STL)2
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 9:51DALChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 10:14MEMGasol 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 10:27MEMUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 10:28DALMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot0
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 10:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 10:47MEMMISS Randolph 3' Running Layup0
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 11:02DALParsons 5' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)0
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 11:19MEMRandolph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 11:44DALParsons 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Chandler vs. Gasol: Tip to Nowitzki0
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMEMDAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.22 61.2%
DAL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
12
24
50%
DAL
21
27
78%
Midrange
MEM
20
34
59%
DAL
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
DAL
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
MEM
15
20
75%
DAL
7
10
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Randolph2265%11.0 / 17
M. Gasol1558%7.5 / 13
C. Lee1393%6.5 / 7
N. Calathes1365%6.5 / 10
V. Carter1250%6.0 / 12
K. Koufos950%4.5 / 9
J. Green857%4.0 / 7
B. Udrih867%4.0 / 6
J. Adams583%2.5 / 3
J. Leuer450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis1956%9.5 / 17
C. Parsons1979%9.5 / 12
D. Nowitzki1142%5.5 / 13
T. Chandler10100%5.0 / 5
R. Rondo744%3.5 / 8
D. Harris643%3.0 / 7
J. Barea536%2.5 / 7
A. Aminu440%2.0 / 5
R. Felton467%2.0 / 3
R. Jefferson375%1.5 / 2
G. Smith250%1.0 / 2
D. Powell0-0.0 / 1
C. Villanueva0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
77
+11
-13
88
DAL
76
+10
-16
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.22 61.2%
DAL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
109.3
MEM 121.1 +23.3
DAL 97.8
Pace
91.7
95.4
MEM 83.6
DAL 99.7 +16.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.1
MEM 17.2
DAL 14.4 −2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
51.5%
MEM 59.5% +6.3%
DAL 53.2%
TO %
14.0%
13.0%
MEM 12.9% −3.4%
DAL 16.3%
ORB %
24.6%
23.7%
MEM 25.0% +4.5%
DAL 20.5%
FTrt
27.6
26.2
MEM 25.3 +12.5
DAL 12.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
56.7%
MEM 54.8% +2.2%
DAL 52.6%
STL %
9.2%
8.4%
MEM 6.7%
DAL 8.7% +2.0%
BLK %
7.2%
7.6%
MEM 0.0%
DAL 5.2% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
53.7%
MEM 61.2% +8.9%
DAL 52.3%
Rim FG%
57.9%
60.3%
MEM 50.0%
DAL 77.8% +27.8%
Mid FG%
40.1%
41.5%
MEM 58.8% +18.8%
DAL 40.0%
3P %
33.9%
35.2%
MEM 47.6% +20.7%
DAL 26.9%
FT %
77.3%
75.2%
MEM 75.0% +5.0%
DAL 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.4%
35.3%
MEM 30.4%
DAL 34.6% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
35.1%
MEM 43.0%
DAL 32.1% −11.0%
3P Att. %
18.4%
29.6%
MEM 26.6%
DAL 33.3% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMDAL
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points10990
Rebounds4035
Assists2320
Steals68
Blocks03
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)27 (1)
Field Goals42-7938-78
At-the-Rim FG12-2421-27
Midrange FG20-3410-25
2-Point FG32-5831-52
3-Point FG10-217-26
Free Throws15-207-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
33.6
22
65%
10
2
0
0
5
3
2
8
2-4
50%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
30.9
13
93%
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
30.8
8
57%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
C · 7'1" 255 · 30
28.1
15
58%
4
6
0
0
2
0
2
2
1-1
100%
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
20.7
8
67%
2
5
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 213 · 26
27.3
13
65%
5
2
2
0
1
4
0
5
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38
26.6
12
50%
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
2-3
67%
1-7
14%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
20.8
9
50%
6
1
0
0
1
2
3
3
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 209 · 21
10.4
5
83%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 26
9.4
4
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
· 6'4" 213 · 33
#2 · G · 6'0" 165 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
61%
40
23
6
0
13
0
9
31
15-20
75%
32-58
55%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.