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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nets19%92102
5Hawks81%104113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
38.0
32.1
14
50%
5
13
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
46%
2-2
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.6
36.7
30.3
26
64%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
46%
3-6
50%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.3
36.2
20.7
15
66%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
2-6
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
31.1
23.5
14
54%
7
1
1
1
3
1
2
5
0-2
0%
7-12
4-7
58%
58%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
18.9
15.5
4
40%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.8
30.9
25.5
18
66%
7
1
0
0
2
1
2
5
6-6
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
50%
0-0
-
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 24.1
15.1
9.5
5
51%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
13.5
22.0
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.1
9.9
14.3
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.3
9.6
12.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-2
0%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.3
10.9
0
1-3
49%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
9.7
0
1-2
40%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.4
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.9
36.0
30.2
17
85%
2
3
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
5-8
63%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.0
35.0
31.0
28
87%
15
1
1
1
2
3
5
10
15-16
94%
2-4
5-9
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.7
33.3
30.4
20
77%
10
5
0
1
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
10-13
6-11
77%
57%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.6
30.5
30.1
13
41%
1
11
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-12
5-9
42%
51%
1-4
25%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
29.3
30.5
12
77%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.4
17.5
16.4
13
73%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
1-1
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
16.9
19.1
2
25%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
15.1
18.0
2
11%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
53%
0-5
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.6
13.8
13.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.5
12.6
14.0
6
44%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.9
3.5
0
0-1
51%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
2.8
0
0-1
52%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
2.5
0
0-0
51%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.9
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.