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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Kings32%101102
6Raptors68%108119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.0
35.9
29.9
17
72%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
3-6
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
32.4
25.7
22
57%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
2-5
40%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.5
30.4
34.4
13
55%
4
4
2
1
2
9
1
3
3-4
75%
5-10
8-17
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
30.3
19.6
6
51%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
30.3
34.4
12
60%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.4
23.0
13.2
14
56%
7
2
1
0
0
0
1
6
6-8
75%
4-9
2-4
44%
52%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
17.5
12.6
4
72%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.3
17.4
14.0
8
68%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
12.4
20.6
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
5.3
11.7
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.3
5.3
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
60%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
10.6
0
1-3
49%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.7
7.0
0
1-1
46%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.8
32.8
34.4
13
52%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
2-4
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
31.3
32.0
12
41%
5
6
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-4
25%
4-10
6-13
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.0
31.1
26.7
18
100%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
4-5
80%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
25.5
26.4
15
66%
9
0
1
0
2
3
4
5
3-3
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
56%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.7
21.1
25.0
6
68%
4
5
0
1
0
5
1
3
1-1
100%
1-2
4-6
50%
59%
1-2
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.3
26.1
25.2
27
68%
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
9-9
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
4-12
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.9
23.7
25.4
11
69%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
3-5
60%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.0
15.5
20.2
13
101%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.6
13.5
2.6
2
100%
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.2
12.2
15.1
0
0%
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.9
7.3
6.4
2
20%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
54%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.3
1.6
0
0-0
52%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.