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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 29, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks56%100115
25Magic44%98100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.5
34.4
28.7
17
71%
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
3-5
60%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.1
33.1
34.2
10
54%
4
5
1
1
3
0
1
3
4-5
80%
3-7
4-9
43%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 23.2
32.9
32.9
16
57%
5
9
4
1
1
5
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
47%
2-5
40%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
26.1
21.7
17
75%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
3-6
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.1
24.1
17.1
12
60%
11
1
1
0
2
3
3
8
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
55%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
27.1
25.5
13
49%
6
6
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-3
33%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
2-7
29%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 37.1
21.6
7.4
4
40%
3
2
3
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
20.1
21.2
19
85%
2
1
3
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
2-2
100%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.7
14.4
6.2
4
33%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 26.1
6.2
5.7
3
52%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.0
22.6
1
3-7
47%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
16.0
1
2-5
49%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 26.2
6.7
0
1-2
51%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.7
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 19.9
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.9
38.1
32.6
15
64%
2
6
1
2
1
5
0
2
3-4
75%
6-10
4-9
60%
45%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.7
34.3
32.4
21
48%
5
1
1
2
0
3
1
4
9-11
82%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
0-4
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
26.5
34.9
17
44%
14
1
0
1
0
3
8
6
1-1
100%
8-19
8-16
42%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.4
19.8
16.9
4
72%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
15.2
23.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.3
30.1
16.8
11
55%
5
2
3
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.8
27.1
12.8
7
93%
9
2
1
0
1
3
1
8
2-4
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
21.1
24.4
7
25%
5
1
0
1
0
1
4
1
3-4
75%
2-10
4-8
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
15.6
13.7
16
90%
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
3-5
60%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
6.8
15.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
3.1
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 34.0
2.3
3.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
3.1
0
0-1
46%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.